Match Info

National League South - Round 41

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday


	Aveley		Torquay United

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.6	1.58
	5.6	4	1.53
	5.82	3.86	1.58	Watch
	5.95	3.84	1.53
	5.6	4	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.54 ↓ (6.15)	3.86 ↓ (4.19)	1.55 ↑ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aveley
16.6%

Draw
23.9%

Torquay United
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15%

22%

63%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.5%

21.3%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aveley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Torquay United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torquay United than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Torquay United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aveley - Torquay United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', McDowell J. 🟥,
87', 0 - 1, Cooke C. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Aveley is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Torquay in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Torquay is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Aveley won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.7:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Aveley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aveley
English National League South
22.03.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Aveley	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Aveley - Eastbourne Borough	0:2 ✺
10.03.25	Aveley - Worthing	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Boreham Wood - Aveley	1:0 ✺
03.03.25	Aveley - Salisbury	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLLT
- Torquay United
English National League South
22.03.25	Torquay United - Bath City	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Dorking Wanderers - Torquay United	0:1 ✺
11.03.25	Torquay United - Salisbury	2:2 ✺
08.03.25	Tonbridge Angels - Torquay United	0:1 ✺
04.03.25	Chippenham Town - Torquay United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
31.08.24	Torquay United - Aveley	1:1
24.02.24	Torquay United - Aveley	2:2
02.09.23	Aveley - Torquay United	2:1

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