Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 16

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Torrejón		Alcorcón B

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	2.65
	1.95	3.25	3.45
	2.44	3.23	2.77	Watch
	1.97	3.26	3.49
	2	3.25	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.97)	3.2 ↓ (3.29)	3.15 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torrejón
42.5%

Draw
28.6%

Alcorcón B
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

27.6%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

28.9%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torrejón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Alcorcón B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torrejón than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Torrejón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón B than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Torrejón - Alcorcón B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
86', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torrejón won 0.

In recent matches, Torrejón has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Alcorcón B is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Torrejón might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Torrejón won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Torrejón won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Torrejón CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
20.12.25	México - Torrejón	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Torrejón - Tres Cantos	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Carabanchel - Torrejón	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Torrejón - Móstoles URJC	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	San Sebastian Reyes B - Torrejón	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWLL
- Alcorcón B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
20.12.25	Alcorcón B - Parla	4:1 ✺
13.12.25	Alcorcón B - Galapagar	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	México - Alcorcón B	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	Alcorcón B - Tres Cantos	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Carabanchel - Alcorcón B	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
04.05.25	Alcorcón B - Torrejón	3:1
22.12.24	Torrejón - Alcorcón B	2:2
21.04.24	Torrejón - Alcorcón B	0:0
03.12.23	Alcorcón B - Torrejón	1:1
17.04.22	Alcorcón B - Torrejón	2:1
19.01.22	Torrejón - Alcorcón B	0:1
01.12.19	Alcorcón B - Torrejón	4:1

Torrejón - Alcorcón B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide