Match Info

National League South - Round 10

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Totton		Weston-super-Mare

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.3	2.37
	2.52	3.35	2.48
	2.46	3.49	2.7
	2.52	2.83	3.09	Watch
	2.58	3.38	2.48
	2.55	3.4	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.37)	3.29 ↓ (3.4)	2.59 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Totton
36.5%

Draw
28%

Weston-super-Mare
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

27%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

26.5%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Totton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Weston-super-Mare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Totton than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weston-super-Mare than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Totton - Weston super Mare Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', 🟥,
61', 2 - 1, ⚽,
69', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Totton is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Weston-super-Mare is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Weston-super-Mare may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Totton - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 38.69%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Weston-super-Mare - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.34%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Totton
English National League South
20.09.25	Horsham - Totton	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Totton - Torquay United	2:0 ✺
English National League South
06.09.25	Dorking Wanderers - Totton	2:1 ✺
02.09.25	Totton - Chesham United	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Totton - Eastbourne Borough	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWLTW
- Weston-super-Mare
English FA Cup
27.09.25	Poole Town - Weston-super-Mare	0:2 ✺
English National League South
20.09.25	Weston-super-Mare - Chesham United	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
16.09.25	Weston-super-Mare - Taunton Town	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Taunton Town - Weston-super-Mare	1:1 ✺
English National League South
06.09.25	Enfield Town - Weston-super-Mare	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWTW

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