Match Info

Seconde Ligue Women - Round 18

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday


	Toulouse		Thonon Évian

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.45	4.55
	1.63	3.56	4.61
	1.65	3.7	4.65
	1.67	3.3	4.4
	1.61	3.74	4.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.41)	3.55 ↓ (4.3)	4.59 ↓ (6.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toulouse
54.9%

Draw
25.4%

Thonon Évian
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

21.3%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

20%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toulouse's form might have worsened.

Thonon Évian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thonon Évian's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toulouse, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thonon Évian than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thonon Évian, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Toulouse - Thonon Évian Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', 1 - 0, ⚽,
79', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiere Ligue Women and 7).

Toulouse is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Thonon Évian has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Toulouse may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Toulouse is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Toulouse will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Toulouse won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Including home match between the teams, Toulouse won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Thonon Evian W	3	0	1	2	2:4	-2	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toulouse FC Women
French Division 2 Women
28.03.26	Reims - Toulouse	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Toulouse - Saint-Malo	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Toulouse - Metz	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Guingamp - Toulouse	1:4 ✺
14.02.26	Toulouse - Nice	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWWWW
- Thonon Évian Grand Genève FC
French Division 2 Women
29.03.26	Thonon Évian - Guingamp	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Nice - Thonon Évian	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Thonon Évian - Auxerre	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Le Mans - Thonon Évian	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Thonon Évian - Grenoble	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Division 2 Women
05.11.22	Toulouse - Thonon Évian	1:3

Toulouse - Thonon Évian: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide