Match Info

Super Lig - Round 7

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu (Samsun)

Referee: Cakir O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	SuperSport 6
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	ESPN 7
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 3
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 7
Croatia	SportKlub 7
Ecuador	ESPN 7
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10
Hong-kong	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Kosovo	ART Sport 5
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 4
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 7
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Singapore	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Digiturk
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 7


	Samsunspor		Trabzonspor

	1	X	2
	3.40	3.70	1.91	Watch
	3.40	3.70	1.98
	3.40	3.65	2.02	Watch
	3.75	3.85	2.02
	3.57	3.76	1.97	Watch
	3.70	3.60	2.00
	3.74	3.83	1.95	Watch
	3.40	3.70	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (3.52)	3.72 ↑ (3.7)	1.98 (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samsunspor
26.7%

Draw
25.4%

Trabzonspor
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

25.5%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

25.4%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samsunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Trabzonspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trabzonspor than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Samsunspor - Trabzonspor Predictions

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Trabzonspor (2.00) (votes: 91%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Trabzonspor will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kocuk O. (G) 2. Mendes J. 22. Cift Y. E. 34. Guarino G. 17. Tomasson L. 5. Yuksel C. 4. Watt E. 10. Coulibaly T. 42. Sekongo A. 11. Kilinc E. (C) 18. Bayo M.	24. Onana A. (G) 20. Pina W. 27. Nwaiwu C. 15. Savic S. (C) 19. Eskihellac M. 57. Kabasakal M. 6. Fabinho 10. Salah M. 7. Muci E. 58. Simsir A. 9. Franculino
Substitutes
25. Bayazit B. (G) 3. Drapinski I. 16. Erakovic S. 14. Kaya F. 20. Kayan Y. 19. Ohlenschlaeger O. 8. Onur S. 77. Sousa A. 29. Tan M. 7. Tavsan E.	4. Akaydin S. 61. Canak C. 26. Jabol-Folcarelli T. 55. Lopes Cabral S. 77. Mimaroglu M. 30. Onuachu P. 39. Ozkacar C. 70. Saviolo N. 11. Tufan O. 1. Yildirim A. (G)
Coaches
Fink T.	Reis T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
7', Tomasson L. 🟨,
27', Yuksel C. ↓, Kayan Y. ↑,
28', 0 - 1, Muci E. ⚽, Eskihellac M. (A),
39', 0 - 2, Nwaiwu C. ⚽,
40', 0 - 3, Franculino ⚽, Salah M. (A),
41', Fink T. 🟨,
43', Kabasakal M. 🟥,
44', Watt E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sekongo A. ↓, Kaya F. ↑,
46', Muci E. ↓, Tufan O. ↑,
66', Watt E. ↓, Ohlenschlaeger O. ↑,
66', Coulibaly T. ↓, Tavsan E. ↑,
71', Eskihellac M. ↓, Lopes Cabral S. ↑,
71', Franculino ↓, Ozkacar C. ↑,
77', Salah M. ↓, Onuachu P. ↑,
79', Mendes J. ↓, Sousa A. ↑,
84', Simsir A. ↓, Jabol-Folcarelli T. ↑,

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 16th in the Relegation - 1. Lig and 7th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor won 1.

Recent results have been tough for Samsunspor (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Trabzonspor have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Samsunspor could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Trabzonspor holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Samsunspor: Assoumou J. (Muscle Injury) Kaya F. (Muscle Injury) Ohlenschlaeger O. (Knee Injury) Sousa A. (Muscle Injury) Tavsan E. (Muscle Injury).

Confirmed absences for Trabzonspor: Batagov A. (Knee Injury) Jabol-Folcarelli T. (Knee Injury) Malinovskyi R. (Knee Injury) Yokuslu O. (Knee Injury).

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Samsunspor has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:18 (averaging 1.1:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Samsunspor against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 7:7 goals (averaging 1.4:1.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Trabzonspor	7	4	1	2	16:5	11	13
16	Samsunspor	7	1	1	5	6:15	-9	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samsunspor
Turkish Super League
20.09.26	Erzurumspor - Samsunspor	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Samsunspor - Çorum	1:5 ✺
06.09.26	Kocaelispor - Samsunspor	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Samsunspor - Fenerbahçe	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Çaykur Rizespor - Samsunspor	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLLW
- Trabzonspor
Club Friendly
01.10.26	Trabzonspor - Drogheda United	0:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
19.09.26	Trabzonspor - Galatasaray	4:0 ✺
12.09.26	Konyaspor - Trabzonspor	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Trabzonspor - Gençlerbirliği	5:0 ✺
31.08.26	Amed SK - Trabzonspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Cup
23.04.26	Samsunspor - Trabzonspor	0:1 penalties
Turkish Super League
07.02.26	Samsunspor - Trabzonspor	0:3
31.08.25	Trabzonspor - Samsunspor	1:1
25.05.25	Trabzonspor - Samsunspor	2:2
04.01.25	Samsunspor - Trabzonspor	2:1
04.05.24	Samsunspor - Trabzonspor	3:1
11.01.24	Trabzonspor - Samsunspor	2:1

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