Match Info

Super Lig - Round 9

Date: 26 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Çaykur Didi Stadyumu (Rize) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Meler H. U. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SupeSport ESPN 2
Argentina	13:00	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Brazil	13:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Canada	12:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	13:00	Disney+
Colombia	11:00	Disney+
Croatia	17:00	SportKlub 3
France	17:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Hong Kong	00:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Indonesia	23:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Kenya	19:00	Gotv
Kosovo	17:00	Arena Premium 3
Laos	23:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	00:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Mexico	10:00	Disney+
New Zealand	05:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	17:00	SupeSport ESPN 2
North Macedonia	17:00	Arena Premium 3
Peru	11:00	Disney+
Philippines	00:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Romania	18:00	Prima Sport PPV 3
Serbia	17:00	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	00:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sport 1
Slovenia	17:00	SportKlub 3
South Africa	18:00	SupeSport ESPN 2
Thailand	23:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	19:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 3, Digiturk
Uruguay	13:00	Disney+
Usa	12:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol
Venezuela	12:00	Disney+


	Çaykur Rizespor		Trabzonspor

	1	X	2
	4.10	3.80	1.79	Watch
	3.80	3.90	1.80
	4.00	3.95	1.78	Watch
	4.00	4.10	1.85
	3.44	4.05	1.94	Watch
	3.85	3.85	1.80
	4.41	3.84	1.81	Watch
	3.85	3.85	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.93 ↑ (3.19)	3.92 ↑ (3.77)	1.82 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Çaykur Rizespor
24%

Draw
24.1%

Trabzonspor
51.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.6%

25%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

24.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Çaykur Rizespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Çaykur Rizespor's form might have worsened.

Trabzonspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Trabzonspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Çaykur Rizespor than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trabzonspor than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Trabzonspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.7%	14.3%	80%

Çaykur Rizespor - Trabzonspor Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - over (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Trabzonspor (1.85) (votes: 94%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Trabzonspor will win (28 of 35 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.75% – 93.25%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Trabzonspor will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
75. Fofana Y. (G) 54. Pala M. 21. Bakayoko S. 93. Sagnan M. 17. Ariss Z. 14. Antalyali T. (C) 11. Mebude A. 10. Olawoyin I. 20. Laci Q. 99. Bulut E. 29. Borrelli G.	24. Onana A. (G) 20. Pina W. 27. Nwaiwu C. 15. Savic S. (C) 19. Eskihellac M. 57. Kabasakal M. 6. Fabinho 10. Salah M. 7. Muci E. 58. Simsir A. 9. Franculino
Substitutes
70. Bozdogan C. 6. Diakite M. 79. Doicaru I. 30. Gorgen Z. (G) 7. Mihaila V. 4. Mocsi A. 37. Sahin T. 5. Sanuc T. T. 9. Sowe A. 8. Varesanovic D.	4. Akaydin S. 99. Habesoglu A. 26. Jabol-Folcarelli T. 55. Lopes Cabral S. 77. Mimaroglu M. 14. Nayir U. 39. Ozkacar C. 70. Saviolo N. 11. Tufan O. 1. Yildirim A. (G)
Coaches
Ucar R.	Reis T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Borrelli G. ⚽,
14', Ariss Z. 🟨,
32', 2 - 0, Borrelli G. ⚽, Mebude A. (A),
38', Fabinho 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
46', Fabinho ↓, Jabol-Folcarelli T. ↑,
49', 2 - 1, Kabasakal M. ⚽, Muci E. (A),
51', 2 - 2, Simsir A. ⚽, Muci E. (A),
55', Kabasakal M. 🟨,
57', 2 - 3, Franculino ⚽,
59', Bulut E. ↓, Mihaila V. ↑,
60', Borrelli G. 🟨,
61', Eskihellac M. ↓, Lopes Cabral S. ↑,
61', Kabasakal M. ↓, Tufan O. ↑,
68', 3 - 3, Laci Q. ⚽, Mebude A. (A),
71', Mebude A. ↓, Doicaru I. ↑,
72', Borrelli G. ↓, Sowe A. ↑,
79', Antalyali T. ↓, Diakite M. ↑,
79', Laci Q. ↓, Bozdogan C. ↑,
83', 3 - 4, Franculino ⚽, Muci E. (A),
86', Salah M. ↓, Saviolo N. ↑,
89', Simsir A. ↓, Ozkacar C. ↑,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 13th and 4th in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rizespor won 1.

Rizespor is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Trabzonspor is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Rizespor could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Trabzonspor holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Rizespor: Alikulov K. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Trabzonspor: Batagov A. (Knee Injury) Cevikkan O. (Tendon Injury) Malinovskyi R. (Knee Injury) Onuachu P. (Muscle Injury) Yokuslu O. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Trabzonspor: Savic S. (Inactive) Saviolo N. (Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Rizespor has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:44 (averaging 1.3:2.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Rizespor against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with 14:13 goals (averaging 1.4:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Trabzonspor	9	6	1	2	22:8	14	19
13	Rizespor	9	3	1	5	11:15	-4	10

Outrights of Turkish Super League for now

Trabzonspor: 17.74% Rizespor: 0.62%

Last Results with these Odds

Çaykur Rizespor - the odds 3.19 are the expected chance of winning is 29.59%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Trabzonspor - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 45.38%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Çaykur Rizespor
Turkish Super League
16.10.26	Çorum - Çaykur Rizespor	2:1 ✺
10.10.26	Çaykur Rizespor - Fenerbahçe	0:3 ✺
20.09.26	Göztepe - Çaykur Rizespor	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Eyüpspor - Çaykur Rizespor	0:2 ✺
07.09.26	Çaykur Rizespor - Alanyaspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTWL
- Trabzonspor
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.10.26	Trabzonspor - Hearts	2:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
19.10.26	Trabzonspor - Beşiktaş	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.10.26	KuPS Kuopio - Trabzonspor	2:4 ✺
Turkish Super League
10.10.26	Samsunspor - Trabzonspor	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
01.10.26	Trabzonspor - Drogheda United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
14.03.26	Trabzonspor - Çaykur Rizespor	1:0
18.10.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Trabzonspor	1:2
13.04.25	Trabzonspor - Çaykur Rizespor	2:0
Turkish Cup
26.02.25	Trabzonspor - Çaykur Rizespor	5:2
Turkish Super League
09.11.24	Çaykur Rizespor - Trabzonspor	3:1
25.01.24	Çaykur Rizespor - Trabzonspor	1:0
26.08.23	Trabzonspor - Çaykur Rizespor	2:3

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