Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 29 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Papara Park (Trabzon)

Referee: Treimanis A. (Lat)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	ATV 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, SRF Info, SRF Info, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	ATV Turkey, Digiturk


	Trabzonspor		St. Gallen

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	4	Watch
	1.88	3.5	3.6
	1.9	3.6	3.75	Watch
	2	3.56	3.95
	1.95	3.65	3.59	Watch
	1.94	3.29	3.99	Watch
	1.9	3.6	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.78)	3.5 ↓ (3.72)	3.8 ↓ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trabzonspor
48.6%

Draw
26.8%

St. Gallen
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

25.4%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

26.8%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trabzonspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

St. Gallen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trabzonspor than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trabzonspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Gallen than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	15.6%	3.1%

Trabzonspor - St. Gallen Predictions

Users Predictions: Trabzonspor will win (25 of 31 users predict this - 80.65%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.74% – 94.56%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cakir U. (C) 11. Tufan O. 15. Savic S. 24. Denswil S. 3. Barisic B. 35. Yokuslu O. 6. Mendy B. 7. Visca E. 8. Bardhi E. 99. Orsic M. 94. Destan E.	1. Ati Zigi L. (G) 33. Schmidt I. 5. Ambrosius S. 20. Vallci A. 36. Okoroji C. 64. Stevanovic M. 16. Gortler L. (C) 7. Witzig C. 24. Toma B. 9. Geubbels W. 10. Akolo C.
Substitutes
44. Batagov A. 77. Bosluk A. 61. Canak C. 25. Cevikkan O. (G) 70. Dragus D. 18. Elmali E. 23. Gunes U. 5. Lundstram J. 79. Malheiro P. 54. Taha M. (G) 10. Trezeguet 90. Yildirim P.	11. Cisse M. 77. Csoboth K. 15. Diaby A. 35. Dumrath B. (G) 22. Faber K. 63. Konietzke C. 18. Mambimbi F. 90. Milosevic J. 14. Noah Yannick 30. Ruiz V. 4. Stanic J. 25. Watkowiak L. (G)
Coaches
Avci A.	Maassen E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Schmidt I. ⚽, Akolo C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tufan O. ↓, Malheiro P. ↑,
46', Akolo C. ↓, Milosevic J. ↑,
46', Bardhi E. ↓, Canak C. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Destan E. ⚽, Barisic B. (A),
61', Schmidt I. ↓, Faber K. ↑,
61', Witzig C. ↓, Csoboth K. ↑,
65', Gortler L. 🟨,
73', Geubbels W. ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
76', Destan E. ↓, Dragus D. ↑,
76', Orsic M. ↓, Trezeguet ↑,
83', Ati Zigi L. 🟨,
85', Okoroji C. ↓, Noah Yannick ↑,
89', Noah Yannick 🟨,
90+1', Yokuslu O. ↓, Lundstram J. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
91', Visca E. ↓, Yildirim P. ↑,
91', Stevanovic M. ↓, Diaby A. ↑,
109', Ambrosius S. 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, Denswil S. (Pen),
1, Milosevic J. (Pen),
2, Trezeguet (Pen),
2, Vallci A. (Pen),
3, Barisic B. (Pen),
3, Cisse M. (Pen),
4, Dragus D. (Pen),
4, Toma B. (Pen),
5, Savic S. (Pen),
5, Ambrosius S. (Pen),

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.

Recent matches Trabzonspor is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

St. Gallen is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Trabzonspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Trabzonspor will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Trabzonspor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trabzonspor
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.08.24	St. Gallen - Trabzonspor	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.08.24	Rapid Wien - Trabzonspor	2:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
11.08.24	Sivasspor - Trabzonspor	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
08.08.24	Trabzonspor - Rapid Wien	0:1 ✺
01.08.24	Trabzonspor - Ružomberok	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLTLW
- FC St. Gallen
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.08.24	St. Gallen - Trabzonspor	0:0 ✺
Swiss Cup
18.08.24	Malcantone - St. Gallen	0:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.08.24	Śląsk Wrocław - St. Gallen	3:2 ✺
Swiss Super League
11.08.24	St. Gallen - Grasshoppers	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.24	St. Gallen - Śląsk Wrocław	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
22.08.24	St. Gallen - Trabzonspor	0:0

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