Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 9

Date: 11 October 2024, Friday

Location: Stadio Polisportivo Provinciale (Erice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, Sky Sport Calcio


	Trapani		ACR Messina

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.2	6.75
	1.4	4.5	7
	1.4	4.43	7.2
	1.42	4.38	7.48
	1.35	4.2	7.5
	1.35	4.45	7.48	Watch
	1.4	4.5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.38)	4.38 ↑ (4.34)	7.2 ↓ (7.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trapani
66.3%

Draw
21%

ACR Messina
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

21.2%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4%

19.7%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trapani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ACR Messina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trapani than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trapani, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Trapani - ACR Messina Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Trapani will win (votes: 3 - 75%). ACR Messina will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Seculin A. (G) 99. Ciotti P. 5. Celiento D. 28. Silvestri L. 4. Sabatino S. (C) 7. Karic N. 21. Carraro F. 20. Carriero G. 77. Kanoute M. 10. Lescano F. 17. Fall M.	12. Krapikas T. (G) 7. Lia D. 98. Rizzo F. 6. Manetta M. (C) 4. Garofalo V. 8. Frisenna G. 28. Pedicillo L. 31. Anzelmo D. 20. Morleo U. 11. Petrungaro L. 9. Anatriello G.
Substitutes
14. Bifulco A. 15. Crimi M. 22. D'Aniello A. (G) 6. Gelli J. 8. Marino A. 3. Martina A. 81. Salamone S. (G) 11. Spini C. 9. Udoh K.	25. Adragna G. 19. Cominetti M. 1. Curtosi F. (G) 22. Di Bella A. (G) 29. Di Palma M. 18. Luciani P. 5. Mame Ass N. 27. Mameli B. 10. Mamona B. 24. Ortisi P. 70. Paratore R. 17. Re A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Garofalo V. 🟨,
19', Anzelmo D. 🟨,
22', Anzelmo D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, Anatriello G. ⚽,
55', Krapikas T. 🟨,
57', Carraro F. ↓, Spini C. ↑,
57', Sabatino S. ↓, Bifulco A. ↑,
57', Carriero G. ↓, Crimi M. ↑,
61', Kanoute M. ↓, Udoh K. ↑,
66', Petrungaro L. ↓, Cominetti M. ↑,
67', Morleo U. ↓, Ortisi P. ↑,
76', Anatriello G. ↓, Luciani P. ↑,
78', Cominetti M. ↓, Mamona B. ↑,
85', Mamona B. 🟨,
90+3', Pedicillo L. ↓, Adragna G. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 1, Udoh K. ⚽,
90+4', Crimi M. 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Trapani is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

ACR Messina is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Trapani is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trapani Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
06.10.24	Sorrento - Trapani	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Trapani - Turris	4:0 ✺
25.09.24	Potenza - Trapani	1:5 ✺
22.09.24	Trapani - Juventus U23	1:1 ✺
13.09.24	Taranto - Trapani	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWWTT
- ACR Messina
Italian Serie C Group C
06.10.24	ACR Messina - Benevento	0:0 ✺
30.09.24	Picerno - ACR Messina	2:0 ✺
25.09.24	Latina - ACR Messina	1:1 ✺
20.09.24	ACR Messina - Casertana	2:2 ✺
14.09.24	Crotone - ACR Messina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLTTL

Trapani - ACR Messina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide