Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 8

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio San Filippo (Messina)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 253


	ACR Messina		Benevento

	1	X	2
	5	3.75	1.53
	5.5	4	1.55
	5.47	4.13	1.56
	5.68	3.91	1.58
	5.5	3.75	1.53
	5.7	3.82	1.51	Watch
	5.5	4	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.48 ↑ (3.59)	3.91 ↑ (3.22)	1.54 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ACR Messina
16.8%

Draw
23.6%

Benevento
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

28%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

27%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ACR Messina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ACR Messina's form might have worsened.

Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Benevento's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ACR Messina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Benevento, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

ACR Messina - Benevento Predictions

Users Predictions: Benevento will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Krapikas T. (G) 7. Lia D. 98. Rizzo F. 6. Manetta M. (C) 24. Ortisi P. 8. Frisenna G. 16. Petrucci D. 4. Garofalo V. 28. Pedicillo L. 9. Anatriello G. 19. Cominetti M.	1. Nunziante A. (G) 27. Oukhadda S. 25. Viscardi A. 96. Capellini R. 20. Berra F. (C) 38. Talia A. 4. Prisco A. 73. Lamesta D. 9. Manconi J. 18. Simonetti P. 33. Perlingieri
Substitutes
25. Adragna G. 31. Anzelmo D. 1. Curtosi F. (G) . Di Bella A. (G) . Di Palma M. 18. Luciani P. 5. Mame Ass N. 27. Mameli B. 10. Mamona B. 15. Marino A. 20. Morleo U. 11. Petrungaro L. 17. Re A.	21. Agazzi D. 28. Borello G. 35. Carfora L. 32. Ferrara A. 10. Lanini E. 68. Lucatelli I. (G) 12. Manfredini N. (G) 3. Sena F. 7. Starita E. 13. Tosca A. 5. Veltri A. 24. Viviani M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Manetta M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Perlingieri M. ↓, Lanini E. ↑,
68', Garofalo V. ↓, Di Palma M. ↑,
69', Cominetti M. ↓, Petrungaro L. ↑,
73', Frisenna G. ↓, Re A. ↑,
73', Capellini R. ↓, Tosca A. ↑,
76', Talia A. ↓, Viviani M. ↑,
79', Anatriello G. ↓, Mamona B. ↑,
83', Krapikas T. 🟨,
86', Petrucci D. ↓, Anzelmo D. ↑,
88', Viviani M. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)).

Recent matches ACR Messina is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Benevento is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

ACR Messina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Benevento is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches ACR Messina won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:8 (average 0.4:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams ACR Messina won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:7 (average 0.3:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ACR Messina
Italian Serie C Group C
30.09.24	Picerno - ACR Messina	2:0 ✺
25.09.24	Latina - ACR Messina	1:1 ✺
20.09.24	ACR Messina - Casertana	2:2 ✺
14.09.24	Crotone - ACR Messina	2:0 ✺
07.09.24	ACR Messina - Taranto	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTTLW
- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
30.09.24	Benevento - Juventus U23	4:1 ✺
26.09.24	Monopoli - Benevento	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Benevento - Foggia	4:0 ✺
15.09.24	Altamura - Benevento	0:2 ✺
08.09.24	Benevento - Potenza	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
10.03.24	Benevento - ACR Messina	1:1
05.11.23	ACR Messina - Benevento	0:1
16.01.16	ACR Messina - Benevento	0:5
23.09.15	Benevento - ACR Messina	0:0
12.12.14	ACR Messina - Benevento	1:1

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