Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 5

Date: 20 September 2024, Friday

Location: Stadio San Filippo (Messina)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport 254


	ACR Messina		Casertana

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.8	2.7
	2.65	3	2.7
	2.58	2.91	2.91
	2.59	3	2.9
	2.6	2.88	2.7
	2.51	2.89	2.76	Watch
	2.65	3	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (3.11)	2.93 ↓ (2.96)	2.77 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ACR Messina
35.4%

Draw
31.4%

Casertana
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

30.7%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

29.2%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ACR Messina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ACR Messina's performance.

Casertana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Casertana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

ACR Messina - Casertana Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. ACR Messina will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Curtosi F. (G) 7. Lia D. 6. Manetta M. 98. Rizzo F. 24. Ortisi P. 28. Pedicillo L. 16. Petrucci D. 4. Garofalo V. 9. Anatriello G. 18. Luciani P. 11. Petrungaro L.	1. Zanellati A. (G) 70. Mancini S. 13. Bacchetti L. (C) 44. Gatti R. 37. Falasca M. 30. Bianchi S. 27. Proia F. 10. Salomaa H. 16. Matese M. 7. Carretta M. 90. Asencio R.
Substitutes
25. Adragna G. 31. Anzelmo D. 19. Cominetti M. 22. Di Bella A. (G) 8. Frisenna G. 12. Krapikas T. (G) 5. Mame Ass N. 10. Mamona B. 15. Marino A. 20. Morleo U. 17. Re A. 21. Salvo G.	93. Bakayoko A. 77. Capasso C. 19. Collodel R. 8. Damian F. 18. Deli F. 3. Fabbri A. 21. Iuliano F. 4. Kontek I. 32. Paglino S. 12. Pareiko D. (G) 34. Rocca S. 9. Satriano A. 22. Vilardi A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Petrungaro L. ⚽,
8', Petrucci D. 🟨,
16', Rizzo F. 🟨,
17', 2 - 0, Luciani P. ⚽,
31', Matese M. ↓, Paglino S. ↑,
32', Pedicillo L. 🟨,
40', Carretta M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', Petrungaro L. 🟨,
56', Bacchetti L. 🟨,
63', Salomaa H. ↓, Bakayoko A. ↑,
66', 2 - 1, Carretta M. ⚽,
69', Proia F. ↓, Damian F. ↑,
69', Asencio R. ↓, Iuliano F. ↑,
70', Carretta M. ↓, Capasso C. ↑,
77', 2 - 2, Damian F. ⚽,
78', Garofalo V. ↓, Frisenna G. ↑,
78', Petrungaro L. ↓, Mame Ass N. ↑,
79', Petrucci D. ↓, Anzelmo D. ↑,
80', Frisenna G. 🟨,
85', Anatriello G. ↓, Cominetti M. ↑,
88', Mame Ass N. 🟨,
90+1', Lia D. 🟨,
90+1', Ortisi P. ↓, Morleo U. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches ACR Messina won 2.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 10 head-to-head matches ACR Messina won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-17.

Including matches at home between the teams ACR Messina won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ACR Messina
Italian Serie C Group C
14.09.24	Crotone - ACR Messina	2:0 ✺
07.09.24	ACR Messina - Taranto	4:1 ✺
30.08.24	Audace Cerignola - ACR Messina	2:0 ✺
25.08.24	ACR Messina - Potenza	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
10.08.24	Crotone - ACR Messina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLTL
- FC Casertana
Italian Serie C Group C
14.09.24	Casertana - Turris	0:0 ✺
07.09.24	Picerno - Casertana	0:0 ✺
30.08.24	Casertana - Juventus U23	2:3 ✺
23.08.24	Latina - Casertana	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
17.08.24	Casertana - Giugliano	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
14.01.24	Casertana - ACR Messina	0:2
11.10.23	ACR Messina - Casertana	1:1
12.03.17	Casertana - ACR Messina	0:0
23.10.16	ACR Messina - Casertana	2:1
30.04.16	ACR Messina - Casertana	1:1
21.12.15	Casertana - ACR Messina	4:1
15.02.15	Casertana - ACR Messina	3:1

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