Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 22

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


San-marino	San Marino RTV


	Tre Fiori		Tre Penne

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.68	3	Watch
	2.58	2.72	3.02	Watch
	2.5	2.63	2.9
	2.54	2.65	2.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.21)	2.67 ↓ (3.05)	2.96 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tre Fiori
35.8%

Draw
33.8%

Tre Penne
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

29.8%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

31.1%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tre Fiori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tre Fiori's form might have worsened.

Tre Penne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tre Fiori than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tre Fiori, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tre Penne than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Tre Fiori - Tre Penne Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Berardi F. ⚽, Peluso L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', 0 - 2, Peluso L. ⚽,
90+4', Sancisi M. 🟥,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tre Fiori won 1.

In recent matches, Tre Fiori has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tre Penne is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tre Penne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tre Fiori could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Tre Fiori won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:19. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Tre Fiori won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.1:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Tre Penne	4	4	0	0	9:2	7	12
4	Tre Fiori	4	3	0	1	14:5	9	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SP Tre Fiori
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
15.02.26	Folgore - Tre Fiori	2:2 ✺
11.02.26	Pennarossa - Tre Fiori	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Tre Fiori - Domagnano	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Tre Fiori - San Marino Academy U22	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	Tre Fiori - Cosmos	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TTWWL
- Tre Penne
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
15.02.26	Tre Penne - Cosmos	1:1 ✺
10.02.26	San Giovanni - Tre Penne	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Pennarossa - Tre Penne	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Tre Penne - La Fiorita	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	San Marino Academy U22 - Tre Penne	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
24.10.25	Tre Penne - Tre Fiori	0:0
San Marino Coppa Titano
02.04.25	Tre Penne - Tre Fiori	1:0
05.03.25	Tre Fiori - Tre Penne	0:1
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
23.02.25	Tre Penne - Tre Fiori	1:3
25.10.24	Tre Fiori - Tre Penne	1:1
13.04.24	Tre Fiori - Tre Penne	2:1
06.01.24	Tre Penne - Tre Fiori	0:3

Tre Fiori - Tre Penne: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide