Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 21

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday


	Folgore		Tre Fiori

	1	X	2
	4.05	3.1	1.85	Watch
	3.4	3.02	2.09
	3.6	3.11	2.05	Watch
	3.3	2.9	2.05
	4.4	3.14	1.8
	3.5	3.1	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↓ (4.05)	3.06 ↓ (3.3)	1.97 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Folgore
24.4%

Draw
29.6%

Tre Fiori
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

27.3%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

28.1%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Folgore has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Tre Fiori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folgore than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tre Fiori than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tre Fiori could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Folgore - Tre Fiori Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Raschi J. ⚽, Garcia Rufer A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 1 - 1, Sensoli N. ⚽, Prandelli M. (A),
66', 2 - 1, Adam ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Folgore won 1.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Tre Fiori may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tre Fiori is a strong favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Folgore won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Folgore won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.6:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Folgore	4	4	0	0	10:1	9	12
4	Tre Fiori	4	3	0	1	14:5	9	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Folgore Falciano Calcio
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
11.02.26	Folgore - Domagnano	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Fiorentino - Folgore	0:4 ✺
31.01.26	Folgore - Murata	3:2 ✺
27.01.26	Faetano - Folgore	0:2 ✺
21.01.26	Folgore - Virtus	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWL
- SP Tre Fiori
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
11.02.26	Pennarossa - Tre Fiori	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Tre Fiori - Domagnano	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Tre Fiori - San Marino Academy U22	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	Tre Fiori - Cosmos	0:3 ✺
24.01.26	Juvenes-Dogana - Tre Fiori	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
17.10.25	Tre Fiori - Folgore	2:1
18.01.25	Tre Fiori - Folgore	0:1
30.08.24	Folgore - Tre Fiori	1:2
11.02.24	Folgore - Tre Fiori	0:1
San Marino Coppa Titano
06.12.23	Tre Fiori - Folgore	0:0
08.11.23	Folgore - Tre Fiori	0:1
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
07.10.23	Tre Fiori - Folgore	3:1

Folgore - Tre Fiori: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide