Match Info

Cymru Premier - Round 5

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday

Location: Ynys Park (Cwmafan)

Referee: Livesey A. D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer app, BBC iPlayer, S4C Clic, S4C Digital, S4C
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Wales	Cymru Football TV


	Trefelin		Ammanford

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.25	2.90
	2.10	3.15	3.05
	2.19	3.57	3.12
	2.33	3.6	2.81	Watch
	2.13	3.50	3.05
	2.19	3.54	3.03
	2.24	3.25	2.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.07)	3.41 ↓ (3.6)	2.98 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trefelin
42.1%

Draw
27%

Ammanford
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

25.4%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trefelin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Ammanford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Trefelin - Ammanford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Coughlan S. (G) 10. Brock T. 4. Caramella-Gerrard L. 3. Horgan-Evans D. 9. John D. 14. Jones J. 19. Jones J. 5. MacDonald S. 26. Owen K. 2. Thomas M. 11. Ware L.	1. Martin L. (G) 5. Bell C. 17. Davies C. L. 6. Delaney M. 24. Evans J. 4. Griffiths E. 8. Orme A. 22. Rowe H. 3. Sauane B. 25. Shirt C. 2. Woodhouse S.
Substitutes
35. Davies O. 21. Jones H. (G) 15. Parker K. 17. Phillips L. 16. Piper R. 33. Pockett L. 12. Saunders C.	26. Davies L. 13. Hopkins J. 23. Owen L. 12. Sylvester L. 10. Thomas C.
Coaches
Hill A.	Thomas W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 🟨,
22', 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Griffiths E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Owen K. 🟥,
62', Griffiths E. 🟥,
65', Brock T. ↓, Piper R. ↑,
65', 🟨,
66', Ware L. ↓, Phillips L. ↑,
67', Shirt C. ↓, Sylvester L. ↑,
76', Jones J. ↓, Saunders C. ↑,
81', Davies C. L. ↓, Thomas C. ↑,
81', Delaney M. ↓, Hopkins J. ↑,
86', 🟨,
87', Evans J. ↓, Owen L. ↑,
87', MacDonald S. ↓, Pockett L. ↑,
90+3', Thomas C. 🟥,
90+9', 1 - 1, Caramella-Gerrard L. ⚽,
90+10', 🟨,
90+11', Rowe H. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trefelin won 3.

Trefelin is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In this match, Trefelin is seen as the favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Trefelin won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:20. (average 2.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Trefelin won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.7:1.7).

Outrights of Welsh Cymru Premier for now

Trefelin: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Ammanford	12	1	3	8	9:32	-23	6
15	Trefelin	12	0	3	9	5:30	-25	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trefelin BGC
Welsh Cymru Premier
21.08.26	Trefelin - Caernarfon Town	0:2 ✺
14.08.26	Gap Connahs Quay - Trefelin	6:0 ✺
07.08.26	Trefelin - Llandudno	0:4 ✺
31.07.26	Colwyn Bay - Trefelin	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.07.26	Carmarthen Town - Trefelin	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Ammanford AFC
Welsh Cymru Premier
22.08.26	Ammanford - Gap Connahs Quay	0:2 ✺
14.08.26	Airbus UK Broughton - Ammanford	2:0 ✺
07.08.26	Ammanford - Colwyn Bay	2:2 ✺
31.07.26	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Ammanford	2:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
18.04.26	Cwmbran Celtic - Ammanford	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
23.01.26	Ammanford - Trefelin	0:4
12.09.25	Trefelin - Ammanford	2:0
21.03.25	Ammanford - Trefelin	1:2
22.11.24	Trefelin - Ammanford	0:1
27.02.24	Trefelin - Ammanford	1:2
15.12.23	Ammanford - Trefelin	1:1
Welsh FA Cup
13.10.23	Trefelin - Ammanford	2:3 penalties

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