Match Info

WALES: Cymru South - Round 26

Date: 7 March 2025, Friday


	Trefelin		Penrhiwceiber Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.32	5.2	6.6
	1.34	5.5	6.3
	1.37	5.42	6.72	Watch
	1.4	5.26	6.05
	1.32	5.2	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.3)	5.32 ↑ (5.25)	6.45 ↓ (7.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trefelin
68.3%

Draw
17.4%

Penrhiwceiber Rangers
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

17.4%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.4%

16.6%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trefelin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Penrhiwceiber Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trefelin than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trefelin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penrhiwceiber Rangers than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Trefelin - Penrhiwceiber Rangers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Jones W. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 0 - 2, Hughes H. ⚽,
68', 1 - 2, Bevan J. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Trefelin is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Penrhiwceiber has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Trefelin is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Trefelin to win the game is with odds 1.33.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Trefelin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trefelin BGC
Welsh Cymru South
28.02.25	Cambrian United - Trefelin	1:3 ✺
21.02.25	Trefelin - Goytre United	3:2 ✺
11.02.25	Penrhiwceiber Rangers - Trefelin	1:3 ✺
07.02.25	Trefelin - Trethomas Bluebirds	2:2 ✺
25.01.25	Llantwit Major - Trefelin	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWTT
- Penrhiwceiber Rangers
Welsh Cymru South
01.03.25	Penrhiwceiber Rangers - Llantwit Major	1:1 ✺
21.02.25	Pontypridd United - Penrhiwceiber Rangers	4:1 ✺
15.02.25	Llantwit Major - Penrhiwceiber Rangers	4:2 ✺
11.02.25	Penrhiwceiber Rangers - Trefelin	1:3 ✺
08.02.25	Penrhiwceiber Rangers - Llanelli	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
11.02.25	Penrhiwceiber Rangers - Trefelin	1:3

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