Match Info

WALES: Cymru South - Round 24

Date: 21 February 2025, Friday

Location: USW Sports Park (Pontypridd)


	Pontypridd United		Penrhiwceiber Rangers

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.2	6.5	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.32)	6.5 ↓ (6.6)	9 ↑ (6.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontypridd United
75.9%

Draw
14%

Penrhiwceiber Rangers
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.4%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.2%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontypridd United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Penrhiwceiber Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontypridd United than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penrhiwceiber Rangers than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Pontypridd United - Penrhiwceiber Rangers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Marsh T. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
49', 2 - 0, Griffiths D. ⚽,
52', 2 - 1, Roberts D. ⚽,
67', 3 - 1, Gullick L. ⚽,
70', 4 - 1, Veale J. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Pontypridd is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Penrhiwceiber has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pontypridd could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Pontypridd is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pontypridd won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pontypridd United
Welsh Cymru South
08.02.25	Ammanford - Pontypridd United	2:3 ✺
04.02.25	Caerau Ely - Pontypridd United	0:1 ✺
17.01.25	Pontypridd United - Baglan Dragons	1:0 ✺
10.01.25	Pontypridd United - Newport City	0:2 ✺
01.01.25	Cambrian United - Pontypridd United	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWLT
- Penrhiwceiber Rangers
Welsh Cymru South
15.02.25	Llantwit Major - Penrhiwceiber Rangers	4:2 ✺
11.02.25	Penrhiwceiber Rangers - Trefelin	1:3 ✺
08.02.25	Penrhiwceiber Rangers - Llanelli	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Penrhiwceiber Rangers	1:1 ✺
17.01.25	Goytre United - Penrhiwceiber Rangers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
05.10.24	Penrhiwceiber Rangers - Pontypridd United	0:2

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