Match Info

SWEDEN: SUPERETTAN - ROUND 26

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday

Location: Vångavallen (Trelleborg)

Referee: Olofsson T. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+


	Trelleborg		GAIS

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.2	1.62	Watch
	4.6	4	1.6
	5	4.2	1.6	Watch
	5	4.28	1.63
	4.75	4	1.53	Watch
	4.7	4.1	1.61	Watch
	4.5	4	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.76 ↑ (3.9)	4.11 ↑ (3.6)	1.6 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trelleborg
19.5%

Draw
22.6%

GAIS
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

25.8%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

26.2%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trelleborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

GAIS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting GAIS's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trelleborg than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GAIS than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for GAIS, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Trelleborg - GAIS Predictions

Users Predictions: GAIS will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kristensen K. (G) 2. Bjorken F. 5. Ogwuche A. 19. Karlsson T. 23. Bodvarsson B. 26. Brkic H. 8. Hallberg H. 10. Saeid M. (C) 11. Olausson L. 9. Mortensen N. 18. Offia H.	1. Krasniqi M. (G) 6. Wangberg A. (C) 4. Noren A. 24. Beckman F. 12. Frej R. 21. Henriksson A. 16. Salihovic D. 25. Lindberg J. 9. Lundgren G. 11. Lindberg J. 10. Celik M.
Substitutes
21. Alievski E. 17. Bohman F. 16. Dickman J. 15. Godwin E. 12. Hyltoft Z. 25. Larsen A. (G) 3. Viitikko M. 37. Wendt K.	7. Aberg J. 26. Amatkarijo C. 5. Andersen N. 22. Cardaklija A. 18. Holmstrom A. 33. Krantz E. (G) 3. Kruger V.
Coaches
Jacobsson S.	Holmberg F.

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Trelleborg won 3.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

GAIS could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match GAIS is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Trelleborg won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Trelleborg won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trelleborgs FF
Swedish Superettan
01.10.23	Västerås SK - Trelleborg	3:0 ✺
28.09.23	Trelleborg - Jönköpings Södra	2:1 ✺
24.09.23	Utsikten - Trelleborg	2:3 ✺
16.09.23	Brage - Trelleborg	1:1 ✺
03.09.23	Trelleborg - AFC Eskilstuna	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LWWTW
- GAIS
Swedish Superettan
03.10.23	GAIS - Öster	1:0 ✺
28.09.23	Örgryte - GAIS	1:4 ✺
23.09.23	Gefle - GAIS	0:6 ✺
17.09.23	GAIS - Helsingborg	4:1 ✺
02.09.23	Landskrona - GAIS	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
07.05.23	GAIS - Trelleborg	2:1
15.08.21	Trelleborg - GAIS	1:0
18.05.21	GAIS - Trelleborg	2:3
04.09.20	GAIS - Trelleborg	2:1
13.07.20	Trelleborg - GAIS	2:0
03.11.19	GAIS - Trelleborg	0:0
30.03.19	Trelleborg - GAIS	2:2

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