Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday


	Trenčín		Baník Ostrava

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.60	1.85
	3.95	3.7	1.7	Watch
	4.21	4	1.75
	4.17	2.47	2.29	Watch
	4.35	3.85	1.55
	4.32	3.84	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↑ (2.7)	3.58 ↑ (3.3)	1.8 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trenčín
22.8%

Draw
25.8%

Baník Ostrava
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

27.6%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

27.5%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trenčín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trenčín's form might have worsened.

Baník Ostrava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Baník Ostrava's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trenčín than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trenčín, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Baník Ostrava, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Trenčín - Baník Ostrava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Slavicek M. (G) 6. Bazdaric A. . Boye B. 95. Diouf P. 17. Gonzalez P. 22. Jepihhin D. 27. Kam D. 33. Krizan R. 21. Mikulaj L. 90. Pavek H. 25. Skovajsa L.	23. Jedlicka M. (G) 9. Buchta D. 17. Frydrych M. 7. Gilbert D. 15. Jurecka V. 81. Kmet M. 42. Micek J. 55. Musak A. 83. Nogha R. 19. Sancl F. 99. Sinyavskiy V.
Substitutes
80. Adamkovic D. 28. Adyrbekov S. 20. Bangs N. 32. Garba M. 8. Hajovsky T. 26. Holp J. 74. Hudok A. (G) 2. Jovanovic N. 19. Nadareishvili G. 18. Poom M. 70. Sabljic F.	34. Bewene A. 5. Boula J. 1. Budinsky V. (G) 37. Chalus M. 12. Gning A. 95. Holzer D. 28. Kubala F. 18. Planka D. 6. Pojezny K. 22. Skrkon V. 44. Skyba Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Gilbert D. ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Mikulaj L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
66', 2 - 1, Hajovsky T. ⚽,
71', 2 - 2, Kubala F. (Penalty Awarded),
87', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Trenčín is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Baník Ostrava has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Baník Ostrava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Baník Ostrava has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Trenčín won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK AS Trenčín
Club Friendly
10.07.26	Legia Warsaw - Trenčín	1:0 ✺
07.07.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Trenčín	1:1 ✺
03.07.26	Trenčín - Inter Bratislava	0:1 ✺
03.07.26	Trenčín - Zlín	1:3 ✺
27.06.26	Trenčín - Petrzalka	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTLLW
- Baník Ostrava
Club Friendly
11.07.26	Miedź Legnica - Baník Ostrava	2:1 ✺
11.07.26	Wisła Płock - Baník Ostrava	2:2 ✺
08.07.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Baník Ostrava	0:2 ✺
04.07.26	Piast Gliwice - Baník Ostrava	1:0 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
30.05.26	Táborsko - Baník Ostrava	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
13.01.18	Baník Ostrava - Trenčín	3:0
27.06.14	Baník Ostrava - Trenčín	2:1

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