Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP E - ROUND 16

Date: 17 December 2022, Saturday


	Trestina		Arezzo

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.2	2.1
	2.65	3.15	2.5
	3.24	3.32	2.02
	3.34	3.3	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↓ (3.39)	3.24 ↑ (3.15)	2.17 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trestina
29.9%

Draw
28.1%

Arezzo
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

28.7%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

28.6%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trestina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Arezzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trestina than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Trestina - Arezzo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs)).

Trestina has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Arezzo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Trestina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Arezzo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Trestina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Trestina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Trestina
Italian Serie D - Group E
11.12.22	Montespaccato - Trestina	2:0 ✺
04.12.22	Trestina - Livorno	1:1 ✺
27.11.22	Città di Castello - Trestina	2:1 ✺
20.11.22	Trestina - Ponsacco	1:4 ✺
06.11.22	Trestina - Seravezza Pozzi	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL
- SS Arezzo
Coppa Italia Serie D
07.12.22	Orvietana - Arezzo	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group E
04.12.22	Pianese - Arezzo	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.12.22	Arezzo - Fiorentina	1:4 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group E
27.11.22	Ostia Mare - Arezzo	3:0 ✺
20.11.22	Arezzo - Grosseto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
29.01.22	Trestina - Arezzo	2:0
19.09.21	Arezzo - Trestina	2:1

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