Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PARAIBANO - ROUND 9

Date: 12 March 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Treze		Queimadense

	1	X	2
	1.16	6.5	12.5
	1.16	6	8.5
	1.09	6.69	13.5
	1.09	8.4	19.25
	1.1	6.8	18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.12 ↓ (1.38)	6.88 ↑ (4.13)	14.35 ↑ (6.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Treze
80.6%

Draw
13.1%

Queimadense
6.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.1%

21.8%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

20.6%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Treze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Treze's performance.

Queimadense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Queimadense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Treze than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Treze that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queimadense than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Queimadense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paraibano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Treze is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Queimadense is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Queimadense have a series of home games.

In this match Treze is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Treze FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
26.02.23	Campinense - Treze	0:0 ✺
12.02.23	Sousa - Treze	1:0 ✺
29.01.23	Treze - Centro Sportivo Paraibano	1:1 ✺
25.01.23	Treze - Serra Branca	3:0 ✺
22.01.23	Botafogo PB - Treze	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TLTWT
- SE Queimadense
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
27.02.23	Queimadense - Nacional de Patos	0:3 ✺
16.02.23	Queimadense - Centro Sportivo Paraibano	1:2 ✺
09.02.23	Queimadense - Sousa	0:0 ✺
30.01.23	São Paulo Crystal - Queimadense	2:1 ✺
26.01.23	Queimadense - Botafogo PB	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLTLT

Treze - Queimadense

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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