Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PARAIBANO - ROUND 8

Date: 27 February 2023, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Queimadense		Nacional de Patos

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.6	1.53
	4.8	3.25	1.6
	5.7	3.51	1.53
	6.1	3.78	1.52
	6	3.75	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.57 ↑ (4.58)	3.58 ↑ (3.2)	1.53 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Queimadense
16.1%

Draw
25.1%

Nacional de Patos
58.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19.5%

27.9%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19%

27.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Queimadense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Nacional de Patos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nacional de Patos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queimadense than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional de Patos than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Queimadense - Nacional de Patos Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Queimadense will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Nacional de Patos will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Queimadense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Nacional de Patos is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nacional de Patos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Nacional de Patos is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SE Queimadense
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
16.02.23	Queimadense - Centro Sportivo Paraibano	1:2 ✺
09.02.23	Queimadense - Sousa	0:0 ✺
30.01.23	São Paulo Crystal - Queimadense	2:1 ✺
26.01.23	Queimadense - Botafogo PB	1:1 ✺
21.01.23	Serra Branca - Queimadense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 LTLTT
- Nacional de Patos
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
23.02.23	Nacional de Patos - Centro Sportivo Paraibano	2:1 ✺
13.02.23	Serra Branca - Nacional de Patos	1:1 ✺
08.02.23	Campinense - Nacional de Patos	1:1 ✺
05.02.23	Nacional de Patos - Sousa	0:1 ✺
24.01.23	Nacional de Patos - Auto Esporte	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTTLW

Queimadense - Nacional de Patos

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Queimadense - Nacional de Patos Predictions

Preview

Form

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