Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PARAIBANO - ROUND 7

Date: 9 February 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Queimadense		Sousa

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.6	1.46
	6.1	3.4	1.45
	7.13	3.43	1.49
	6.85	3.72	1.46
	6.2	3.65	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.56 ↑ (4.54)	3.56 ↑ (3.03)	1.46 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Queimadense
13.7%

Draw
25.2%

Sousa
61.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19.8%

29.7%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

29.5%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Queimadense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Queimadense's form might have worsened.

Sousa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sousa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queimadense than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Queimadense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sousa than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sousa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Queimadense - Sousa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Queimadense will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Sousa will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paraibano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Queimadense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sousa is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sousa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sousa is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SE Queimadense
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
30.01.23	São Paulo Crystal - Queimadense	2:1 ✺
26.01.23	Queimadense - Botafogo PB	1:1 ✺
21.01.23	Serra Branca - Queimadense	1:1 ✺
11.01.23	Auto Esporte - Queimadense	1:1 ✺
07.01.23	Queimadense - Campinense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LTTTL
- Sousa
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
05.02.23	Nacional de Patos - Sousa	0:1 ✺
25.01.23	Sousa - Campinense	0:1 ✺
19.01.23	São Paulo Crystal - Sousa	0:1 ✺
14.01.23	Serra Branca - Sousa	1:2 ✺
11.01.23	Sousa - Botafogo PB	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLWWT

Queimadense - Sousa

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Queimadense - Sousa Predictions

Preview

Form

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