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Current Win Probability
Queimadense 13.7%
Draw 25.2%
Sousa 61.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.8%
29.7%
50.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.7%
29.5%
50.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Queimadense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Queimadense's form might have worsened.
Sousa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sousa's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queimadense than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Queimadense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sousa than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sousa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Queimadense - Sousa Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Queimadense will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Sousa will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paraibano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Queimadense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Sousa is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Sousa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.