Match Info

Date: 2 April 2024, Tuesday


	Triglav		Rogaška

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.4	3.4	1.68
	4.5	3.5	1.7
	5.07	3.53	1.74
	5.07	3.53	1.69
	4.5	3.5	1.6
	5.62	3.57	1.63
	4.6	3.45	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.82 ↑ (2.97)	3.5 (3.5)	1.68 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Triglav
19%

Draw
26.3%

Rogaška
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

26.4%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

25.2%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Triglav has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Triglav's form might have worsened.

Rogaška has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rogaška's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Triglav than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Triglav, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rogaška than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rogaška, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	9.1%	90.9%

Triglav - Rogaška Predictions

Users Predictions: Rogaška will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sorcan G. (G) 7. Cadez J. 10. Ceh M. 41. Gasperin T. 33. Horvat E. 3. Ljubijankic N. 31. Makadji M. 17. Momcilovski M. 5. Okpolokpo J. 21. Podbregar N. 76. Pokorn T. (C)	42. Diaby T. 66. Kambic L. 88. Korosec A. 22. Kregar O. 35. Lovric D. 33. Majcenic A. 3. Mihalic E. 28. Mijic P. 2. Pirtovsek R. (C) 29. Satchwell S. 8. Thalisson Charles
Coaches
Golem T.	Drobne O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Mijic P. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Momcilovski M. ⚽,
45', Podbregar N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 1 - 2, Korosec A. ⚽,
50', 2 - 2, Horvat E. ⚽,
61', Pokorn T. 🟨,
69', Majcenic A. 🟨,
72', 2 - 3, Thalisson Charles ⚽,
83', 🟨,
88', 🟨,
90+5', 🟥,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

Triglav is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rogaška is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rogaška could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Rogaška is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Triglav won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Triglav won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Triglav Kranj
Slovenian 2 SNL
29.03.24	Ilirija Ljubljana - Triglav	1:2 ✺
25.03.24	Triglav - Brinje-Grosuplje	0:1 ✺
17.03.24	Bistrica - Triglav	1:3 ✺
09.03.24	Triglav - Tolmin	2:0 ✺
Slovenian Cup
05.03.24	Podvinci - Triglav	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWWW
- NK Rogaška
Slovenian PrvaLiga
29.03.24	Rogaška - NK Bravo	2:0 ✺
17.03.24	Rogaška - Mura	0:0 ✺
13.03.24	Aluminij Kidricevo - Rogaška	0:1 ✺
10.03.24	Rogaška - Radomlje	1:0 ✺
Slovenian Cup
07.03.24	Nafta - Rogaška	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
19.03.23	Rogaška - Triglav	0:2
04.09.22	Triglav - Rogaška	0:1
27.11.21	Rogaška - Triglav	2:1
14.08.21	Triglav - Rogaška	3:0

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