Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 24

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday


	Trival Valderas		Atlético Madrid C

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.3	1.98
	3.1	3.24	2.2
	2.85	3.53	2.24	Watch
	3	3	2.2
	3.11	3.14	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↓ (3.48)	3.24 ↓ (3.41)	2.16 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trival Valderas
29.7%

Draw
28.1%

Atlético Madrid C
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

26.5%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

27.1%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trival Valderas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Atlético Madrid C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Madrid C might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trival Valderas than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid C than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Madrid C could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Trival Valderas - Atlético Madrid C Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, Buta ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, ⚽,
45', 2 - 1, Reguera F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
75', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Trival Valderas is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Atlético C's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Atlético C may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Atlético C is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Trival Valderas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Trival Valderas	5	3	2	0	8:4	4	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Trival Valderas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
22.02.26	Siello - Trival Valderas	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Trival Valderas - Pozuelo de Alarcón	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Leganés B - Trival Valderas	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Trival Valderas - Galapagar	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Trival Valderas - Torrejón	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.4 WWWTW
- Atlético Madrid C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
21.02.26	Atlético Madrid C - Torrejón	2:2 ✺
15.02.26	Parla - Atlético Madrid C	1:4 ✺
08.02.26	Atlético Madrid C - Alcorcón B	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	México - Atlético Madrid C	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Atlético Madrid C - Tres Cantos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
18.10.25	Atlético Madrid C - Trival Valderas	2:1

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