Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 30

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday


	Collado Villalba		Parla

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.6	3.5
	1.85	3.6	3.55
	1.84	3.83	3.53
	1.76	3.66	3.88
	1.85	3.6	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.54)	3.66 ↓ (3.87)	3.6 ↓ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Collado Villalba
50%

Draw
24.8%

Parla
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

23.4%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

22.5%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Collado Villalba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Collado Villalba's form might have worsened.

Parla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Parla's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Collado Villalba than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Collado Villalba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parla than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Parla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Collado Villalba - Parla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 0 - 1, Escobar J. ⚽,
59', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 2, Escobar J. (Pen),

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Collado Villalba is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Collado Villalba won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Collado Villalba won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CU Collado Villalba
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
06.04.25	Villaverde San Andrés - Collado Villalba	5:2 ✺
30.03.25	Collado Villalba - Las Rozas	0:0 ✺
23.03.25	Canillas - Collado Villalba	0:2 ✺
16.03.25	Collado Villalba - Alcorcón B	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Torrejón - Collado Villalba	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTWWL
- AD Parla
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
06.04.25	Parla - Galapagar	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Trival Valderas - Parla	0:0 ✺
23.03.25	Parla - Aravaca	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	México - Parla	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	Cala Pozuelo - Parla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
01.12.24	Parla - Collado Villalba	0:1
18.02.24	Collado Villalba - Parla	0:3
01.10.23	Parla - Collado Villalba	0:2

Collado Villalba - Parla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide