Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 29

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday


	México		Trival Valderas

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3
	2.26	3	3.1
	2.24	3.12	3.13
	2.2	3.05	3.16
	2.26	3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.2)	3.03 ↓ (3.05)	3.1 ↓ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

México
40.8%

Draw
29.9%

Trival Valderas
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

29.8%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

28.6%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

México has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Trival Valderas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for México than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trival Valderas than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

México - Trival Valderas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Echarri M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 0 - 2, ⚽,
62', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 11).

Recent matches México is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Trival Valderas is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

México will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches México won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Last Results with these Odds

Trival Valderas - the odds 3.16 are the expected chance of winning is 28.8%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- México FC Spain
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
30.03.25	Aravaca - México	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Cala Pozuelo - México	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	México - Parla	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	Villaverde San Andrés - México	1:2 ✺
01.03.25	México - Las Rozas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTLWT
- CF Trival Valderas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
30.03.25	Trival Valderas - Parla	0:0 ✺
23.03.25	Villaverde San Andrés - Trival Valderas	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Trival Valderas - Las Rozas	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Canillas - Trival Valderas	2:2 ✺
02.03.25	Trival Valderas - Alcorcón B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
24.11.24	Trival Valderas - México	1:2

México - Trival Valderas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide