Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Final

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Campo de fútbol CDM La Canaleja (Alcorcón)


	Trival Valderas		La Nucía

	1	X	2
	2.60	2.87	2.55
	2.62	2.82	2.68
	2.63	2.88	2.74
	2.79	2.85	2.64
	2.62	2.75	2.70
	2.59	2.85	2.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.36)	2.84 ↓ (3)	2.67 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trival Valderas
34.2%

Draw
31.9%

La Nucía
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

30.7%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

30.3%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trival Valderas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

La Nucía has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trival Valderas than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Nucía than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Trival Valderas - La Nucía Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

First leg.

In recent matches, Trival Valderas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

La Nucía is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

La Nucía - the odds 3.04 are the expected chance of winning is 30.29%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Trival Valderas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
07.06.26	Trival Valderas - Las Rozas	3:1 ✺
31.05.26	Las Rozas - Trival Valderas	1:1 ✺
24.05.26	Trival Valderas - Leganés B	1:1 ET ✺
17.05.26	Leganés B - Trival Valderas	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	Trival Valderas - Alcorcón B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTLWT
- CF La Nucía
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
07.06.26	Levante B - La Nucía	1:1 ✺
31.05.26	La Nucía - Levante B	1:0 ✺
24.05.26	Atlético Saguntino - La Nucía	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	La Nucía - Atlético Saguntino	3:1 ✺
09.05.26	La Nucía - Recambios Colón	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWLWW

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