Match Info
Date: 4 May 2022, Wednesday
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Troina |
|
Castrovillari |
|
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.5 |
2.9 |
2.6 |
|
 |
2.8 |
2.74 |
2.57 |
|
 |
2.15 |
3 |
3.3 |
|
 |
3.09 |
2.93 |
2.36 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.64 ↑
(2.17) |
2.89 ↓
(3.08) |
2.71 ↓
(3.31) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Troina
34.7% | Draw
31.6% | Castrovillari
33.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Troina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Troina's form might have worsened.Castrovillari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castrovillari's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troina than the current prediction. (+11.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Troina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castrovillari than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castrovillari, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors. 
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out).Last 5 head-to-head matches Troina won 0. One and the other team get a very uncertain game. Castrovillari could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. Recently Troina have a series of guest games. Troina will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Troina won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-13. Including matches at home between the teams Troina won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group I | | | 12.12.21 | Castrovillari - Troina | 3:1 | | 28.03.21 | Castrovillari - Troina | 0:0 | | 20.01.21 | Troina - Castrovillari | 0:1 | | 09.02.20 | Castrovillari - Troina | 5:1 | | 06.10.19 | Troina - Castrovillari | 2:1 | | 20.01.19 | Castrovillari - Troina | 2:1 | | 30.09.18 | Troina - Castrovillari | 1:1 |
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