Match Info

Date: 24 August 2020, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Tromsø		Sogndal

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.5	4
	1.9	3.2	3.7
	2	3.15	3.9	Watch
	1.94	3.25	3.7
	2.03	3.28	4.05
	1.95	3.2	3.9
	1.98	3.34	3.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.93)	3.27 ↓ (3.45)	3.88 ↑ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tromsø
47.6%

Draw
28.4%

Sogndal
24%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.2%

26.9%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

22.2%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tromsø has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Sogndal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tromsø than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tromsø that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sogndal than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sogndal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	12.8%	10.3%

Tromsø - Sogndal Predictions

Users Predictions: 78 users predict this event. Tromsø will win (votes: 60 - 76.9%). Sogndal will win (votes: 8 - 10.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 12.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tromsø: 67.5% – 86.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to Eliteserien and 3 in the zone Promotion to OBOStoligaen (Play Offs)).

Recent matches Tromsø is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sogndal is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Tromsø is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Tromsø won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Tromsø won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tromsø IL
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
17.08.20	Jerv - Tromsø	1:0 ✺
14.08.20	Grorud - Tromsø	2:0 ✺
10.08.20	Tromsø - Sandnes Ulf	5:0 ✺
03.08.20	Åsane - Tromsø	0:1 ✺
31.07.20	Tromsø - Stjørdals-Blink	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWWW
- Sogndal Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
17.08.20	Sogndal - Ranheim	4:0 ✺
14.08.20	Stjørdals-Blink - Sogndal	2:2 ✺
10.08.20	Sogndal - Hamarkameratene	4:2 ✺
04.08.20	Lillestrøm SK - Sogndal	0:2 ✺
31.07.20	Sogndal - Raufoss	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
07.02.20	Tromsø - Sogndal	0:2
Norwegian Eliteserien
05.11.17	Sogndal - Tromsø	0:2
09.04.17	Tromsø - Sogndal	3:0
11.09.16	Tromsø - Sogndal	2:0
12.05.16	Sogndal - Tromsø	0:0
Club Friendly
29.02.16	Sogndal - Tromsø	0:0
La Manga Cup
26.02.15	Sogndal - Tromsø	1:3

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tromsø IL
Norwegian Eliteserien
01.11.26	Vålerenga - Tromsø	✺
- Sogndal Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
01.11.26	Ranheim - Sogndal	✺

Tromsø - Sogndal