Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 9

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Fosshaugane Campus (Sogndal)

Referee: Koloy M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Sogndal		Raufoss

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.6	3.7
	1.75	3.6	4
	1.9	3.75	3.75	Watch
	1.79	3.81	4.59
	1.91	3.51	3.92	Watch
	1.75	3.4	4
	1.9	3.6	3.9	Watch
	1.9	3.75	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.9)	3.63 ↑ (3.5)	3.95 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sogndal
50.6%

Draw
25.8%

Raufoss
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

25.8%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

25%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sogndal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Raufoss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sogndal than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raufoss than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	6.7%	0%

Sogndal - Raufoss Predictions

Users Predictions: Sogndal will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sogndal will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jendal L. (G) 2. Bras D. 33. Granheim S. A. 13. Flo P. (C) 17. Sjolstad M. 6. Hoyland M. 18. Hagen V. 10. Skaanes K. 16. Vapne L. 9. Hintsa O. 7. Pedersen S.	1. Klemensson A. (G) 29. Sorum E. 4. Hansen A. 15. Hay K. 6. Orsahl J. 23. Selnaes J. S. 16. Sveen O. (C) 14. Lynum J. 8. Nelson R. 19. Aarflot E. 24. Aanesland M.
Substitutes
77. Borgthorsson O. 19. Flataker E. 8. Flaten J. 14. Haruna J. 11. Mensah E. 31. Nundal J. 88. Onyango R. 21. Saetren D. (G) 29. Steinset K.	21. Agyeman Y. 20. Ampofo J. 10. Badjie K. 2. Engebakken T. 28. Jensen P. (G) 13. Nihorimbere A. 18. Somesi K.
Coaches
Pimenta L.	Dent T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', Pedersen S. 🟨,
41', Hagen V. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 0, Hintsa O. ⚽, Sjolstad M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Aanesland M. ↓, Agyeman Y. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Sveen O. ⚽,
56', 1 - 2, Aarflot E. ⚽,
63', 2 - 2, Pedersen S. ⚽,
64', Pedersen S. ↓, Mensah E. ↑,
64', Hagen V. ↓, Flaten J. ↑,
65', Sorum E. ↓, Engebakken T. ↑,
79', Flo P. ↓, Nundal J. ↑,
85', Pimenta L. 🟨,
89', Aarflot E. ↓, Ampofo J. ↑,
90+6', Hintsa O. 🟨,
90+6', Selnaes J. S. ↓, Somesi K. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sogndal won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Sogndal might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Sogndal won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:22. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Sogndal won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.6:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sogndal Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
25.05.25	Egersund - Sogndal	0:2 ✺
16.05.25	Sogndal - Åsane	2:0 ✺
11.05.25	Hødd - Sogndal	2:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
07.05.25	Sogndal - Kongsvinger	3:4 penalties ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
03.05.25	Sogndal - Mjøndalen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLLW
- Raufoss Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
24.05.25	Raufoss - Stabæk	1:0 ✺
15.05.25	Ranheim - Raufoss	1:1 ✺
11.05.25	Raufoss - Start	0:0 ✺
03.05.25	Aalesunds - Raufoss	3:1 ✺
28.04.25	Raufoss - Egersund	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
02.09.24	Raufoss - Sogndal	4:1
22.05.24	Sogndal - Raufoss	1:1
23.08.23	Raufoss - Sogndal	3:0
06.05.23	Sogndal - Raufoss	2:1
29.10.22	Raufoss - Sogndal	0:3
04.04.22	Sogndal - Raufoss	2:0
15.09.21	Sogndal - Raufoss	2:1

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