Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 24

Date: 21 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Fosshaugane Campus (Sogndal) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Al Fahad A. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Norway	19:00	Direkte Sport, TV2 Play


	Sogndal		Raufoss

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.50	4.50	Watch
	1.55	4.33	4.50
	1.52	4.40	5.30
	1.61	4.59	4.92
	1.45	4.82	6	Watch
	1.57	4.50	4.85
	1.58	4.58	4.58	Watch
	1.56	4.40	4.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.5)	4.52 ↑ (4.4)	4.89 ↑ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sogndal
60.3%

Draw
20.7%

Raufoss
19.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.2%

20.5%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

19.7%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sogndal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Raufoss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sogndal than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raufoss than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sogndal - Raufoss Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Sogndal will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jendal L. (G) 32. Oren M. 14. Haruna J. 4. Hovland E. (C) 18. Hagen V. 16. Vapne L. 10. Skaanes K. 35. Hillestad E. L. 20. Asp P. 9. Arierhi K. 7. Woxen H.	1. Klemensson A. (G) 15. Gartig E. 16. Larsen M. 6. Froysa E. 2. Sjol J. 7. Sildnes E. 8. Holter H. 11. Fremstad N. (C) 17. Onsrud K. 27. Zekhnini R. 19. Karlsen H.
Substitutes
24. Bieszczad K. (G) 39. Flo E. 8. Gausdal L. 15. Helen O. 11. Mensah E. 88. Onyango R. 19. Pippola T. 30. Stavo S.	14. Agyeman Y. 3. Asvestad E. 31. Danbolt U. 5. Gjerde E. 9. Rogulj A. 44. Sarr A. (G)
Coaches
Bakke E.	Berget O. P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Asp P. ↓, Helen O. ↑,
46', Woxen H. ↓, Onyango R. ↑,
57', 1 - 0, Onyango R. ⚽, Skaanes K. (A),
60', Sildnes E. ↓, Asvestad E. ↑,
71', Sjol J. ↓, Rogulj A. ↑,
71', Haruna J. ↓, Gausdal L. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Rogulj A. ⚽, Onsrud K. (A),
79', 2 - 1, Arierhi K. ⚽, Skaanes K. (A),
83', Froysa E. ↓, Agyeman Y. ↑,
83', Hagen V. ↓, Flo E. ↑,

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 14th in the OBOS - ligaen (Relegation) and 16th in the Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sogndal won 1.

Sogndal is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Raufoss is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Recently, Sogndal has faced a series of away games on the road.

Sogndal carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Sogndal has recorded 8 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:28 (averaging 1.6:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sogndal against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 15:13 goals (averaging 1.7:1.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Sogndal	28	8	6	14	47:61	-14	30
16	Raufoss ✔	28	6	2	20	31:74	-43	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sogndal Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
18.10.26	Egersund - Sogndal	3:3 ✺
14.10.26	Sogndal - Odd	0:1 ✺
11.10.26	Åsane - Sogndal	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Stabæk - Sogndal	2:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
16.09.26	Sotra - Sogndal	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLLLW
- Raufoss Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
18.10.26	Hødd - Raufoss	5:1 ✺
14.10.26	Bryne - Raufoss	1:1 ✺
11.10.26	Raufoss - Moss	1:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
06.10.26	Raufoss - Start	1:5 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
20.09.26	Raufoss - Strømsgodset	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.06.26	Raufoss - Sogndal	3:1
22.10.25	Raufoss - Sogndal	1:3
31.05.25	Sogndal - Raufoss	2:2
02.09.24	Raufoss - Sogndal	4:1
22.05.24	Sogndal - Raufoss	1:1
23.08.23	Raufoss - Sogndal	3:0
06.05.23	Sogndal - Raufoss	2:1

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