Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-ligaen - Relegation - Semi-finals

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday

Location: TUIL arena (Tromsø)

Referee: Haugen J. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	Direkte Sport, TV2 Play


	Tromsdalen		Jerv

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.5	3.4
	2.1	3.5	3.3
	1.94	3.5	2.88
	2.04	3.67	3.3	Watch
	1.91	3.5	3.1
	1.97	3.6	3.2
	2.1	3.5	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.15)	3.54 ↓ (3.6)	3.21 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tromsdalen
45.8%

Draw
25.8%

Jerv
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

25.8%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

25%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tromsdalen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Jerv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tromsdalen than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerv than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Tromsdalen - Jerv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Nilsen T. (G) 33. Vik I. 24. Breivik C. 5. Hafstad T. 4. Laugsand S. (C) 32. Johansen P. 22. Eliassen A. 13. Rekdal T. 23. Larsen M. 9. Hafstad D. 8. Skogvoll E.	20. Ovretveit O. (G) 19. Mafi I. 16. Krogelien H. 15. Gueye M. 2. van der Meer J. 10. Seufert N. 8. Ugland M. 6. Wichmann M. 3. Larade L. 17. Furaha J. 14. Wilson P.
Substitutes
6. Hansen M. 16. Johnsgard H. 1. Kamsvag K. (G) 19. Pedersen A. 14. Pedersen S. 17. Sandbukt A. 34. Svendsen A. 7. Swaleh K. 15. Weber J.	25. Endresen A. 4. Jablinski K. 5. Markmanrud L. 35. Nilsen N. (G) 40. Osestad S. 22. Race E. 11. Schroter F. 13. Skeie P. 80. Trengereid M.
Coaches
Samuelsen A.	Bohinen L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Wilson P. 🟨,
45', Seufert N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 0 - 1, Wilson P. ⚽,
54', Hafstad D. ↓, Pedersen A. ↑,
54', Johansen P. ↓, Sandbukt A. ↑,
61', Hafstad T. 🟨,
72', Breivik C. ↓, Pedersen S. ↑,
72', Hafstad T. ↓, Swaleh K. ↑,
84', Ugland M. ↓, Trengereid M. ↑,
87', Furaha J. ↓, Osestad S. ↑,
87', Sandbukt A. 🟨,
89', Skogvoll E. ↓, Johnsgard H. ↑,
90', van der Meer J. 🟨,
90', van der Meer J. ↓, Markmanrud L. ↑,
90+7', Ovretveit O. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tromsdalen won 2.

Tromsdalen is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Jerv is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tromsdalen will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Tromsdalen won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:9 (average 0.8:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Tromsdalen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:7 (average 1:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tromsdalen Fotball
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
26.10.24	Tromsdalen - Stjørdals-Blink	4:1 ✺
19.10.24	Eidsvold Turn - Tromsdalen	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	Tromsdalen - Skeid	4:3 ✺
29.09.24	Strømmen - Tromsdalen	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Kjelsås - Tromsdalen	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWLW
- FK Jerv
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
26.10.24	Kvik Halden - Jerv	2:3 ✺
19.10.24	Jerv - Notodden	0:0 ✺
06.10.24	Hødd - Jerv	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Jerv - Vard Haugesund	5:2 ✺
21.09.24	Ørn-Horten - Jerv	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
22.09.19	Jerv - Tromsdalen	1:0
06.06.19	Tromsdalen - Jerv	1:3
11.11.18	Jerv - Tromsdalen	0:1
06.06.18	Tromsdalen - Jerv	1:0
24.09.17	Tromsdalen - Jerv	1:4
18.06.17	Jerv - Tromsdalen	1:1

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