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Current Win Probability
Tromsø 47.6%
Draw 28.4%
Sogndal 24%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.2%
26.9%
24.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.7%
17.7%
37.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tromsø has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Sogndal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tromsø than the current prediction. (-15.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tromsø that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sogndal than the current prediction. (+13.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sogndal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
76.9%
12.8%
10.3%
Tromsø - Sogndal Predictions
Users Predictions:
78 users predict this event. Tromsø will win (votes: 60 - 76.9%). Sogndal will win (votes: 8 - 10.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 12.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Tromsø: 67.5% – 86.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Limited number of spectators.
The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to Eliteserien and 3 in the zone Promotion to OBOStoligaen (Play Offs)).
Recent matches Tromsø is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Sogndal is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match Tromsø is a favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Tromsø won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Tromsø won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.
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