Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 17

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Troszyn		Wikielec

	1	X	2
	2	3.65	2.98
	1.91	3.75	3
	2.05	3.80	2.94	Watch
	2.01	3.65	3.03	Watch
	2.05	3.6	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.68)	3.69 ↓ (4)	2.97 ↓ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Troszyn
45.1%

Draw
24.5%

Wikielec
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

22.3%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

20.8%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Troszyn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Troszyn's form might have worsened.

Wikielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wikielec's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troszyn than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Troszyn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wikielec than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wikielec, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Troszyn - Wikielec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Troszyn is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Wikielec's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Troszyn will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS CK Troszyn
Polish Division 3 - Group I
08.11.25	ŁKS Łomża - Troszyn	2:3 ✺
31.10.25	Troszyn - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:1 ✺
24.10.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Troszyn	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Troszyn - Broń Radom	1:3 ✺
11.10.25	Znicz Biała Piska - Troszyn	0:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WTWLW
- GKS Wikielec
Polish Division 3 - Group I
08.11.25	Wikielec - Ząbkovia Ząbki	1:1 ✺
31.10.25	Warta Sieradz - Wikielec	1:0 ✺
Polish Cup
28.10.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Wikielec	3:0 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group I
24.10.25	Wikielec - Legia II	0:2 ✺
18.10.25	GKS Bełchatów - Wikielec	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLLLT

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