Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 15

Date: 31 October 2025, Friday


	Troszyn		Jagiellonia II Białystok

	1	X	2
	2	3.65	2.98
	2.03	3.95	2.88	Watch
	1.99	3.62	3.13	Watch
	1.96	3.6	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.71)	3.71 ↓ (3.8)	3.02 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Troszyn
45.5%

Draw
24.5%

Jagiellonia II Białystok
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Troszyn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Troszyn's form might have worsened.

Jagiellonia II Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jagiellonia II Białystok's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troszyn than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Troszyn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia II Białystok than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jagiellonia II Białystok, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Troszyn - Jagiellonia II Białystok Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Zalewski Z. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Troszyn could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS CK Troszyn
Polish Division 3 - Group I
24.10.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Troszyn	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Troszyn - Broń Radom	1:3 ✺
11.10.25	Znicz Biała Piska - Troszyn	0:7 ✺
04.10.25	Troszyn - Legia II	2:3 ✺
27.09.25	Olimpia Elbląg - Troszyn	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWLT
- Jagiellonia II Białystok
Polish Division 3 - Group I
25.10.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Mławianka Mława	3:2 ✺
18.10.25	ŁKS Łomża - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Warta Sieradz	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Widzew Łódź II - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Broń Radom	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLLTW

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