The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Troyes 23.7%
Draw 24.1%
Lens 52.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.4%
23.7%
51.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.3%
23.6%
52.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Troyes - Lens Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 16th in the Ligue 1 Promotion - Playoffs and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 0.
Recent results have been tough for Troyes (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Lens has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Lens may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Lens is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Troyes has recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:24 (averaging 0.8:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Troyes against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 15:14 goals (averaging 1.4:1.3 per game).
Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now
Lens: 1.31% Troyes: 0.16%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Lens
6
2
1
3
11:10
1
7
17
Troyes
6
1
1
4
4:13
-9
4
Last Results with these Odds
Troyes - the odds 3.87 are the expected chance of winning is 24.4%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Lens - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 51.88%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.
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