Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 6

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday

Location: Stade Bollaert-Delelis (Lens)

Referee: Stinat J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Maximo 360
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Bolivia	ESPN 4
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5P
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports Espanol
China	Migu
Colombia	ESPN 4
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN 4
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Lithuania	Go3 Extra Sports
Mexico	FOX One
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 4
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 4
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Suriname	SCCN
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US Espanol
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 4, Inter
World	OneFootball TV


	Lens		Lyon

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.6	2.5	Watch
	2.40	3.70	2.70
	2.55	3.6	2.55
	2.67	3.7	2.64
	2.55	3.77	2.56	Watch
	2.65	3.6	2.6
	2.66	3.72	2.69	Watch
	2.65	3.75	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.21)	3.68 ↓ (3.8)	2.59 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lens
36.9%

Draw
26.1%

Lyon
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

24.8%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

25.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lens's form might have worsened.

Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lyon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.2%	31.2%	37.5%

Lens - Lyon Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Lens will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Lyon will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 13.8% – 61.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Lyon (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lyon (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 15th and 2nd in the Promotion - Champions League League phase).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lens won 3.

Recent results have been tough for Lens (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Lyon is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Recently, Lens has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Lens: Chavez J. (Thigh Injury) Hazard T. (Inactive) Nawrocki M. (Knee Injury) Sima A. (Muscle Injury) Todibo J. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Lyon: Himbert R. (Inactive) Niakhate M. (Muscle Injury) Ouedraogo M. (Knee Injury) Tagliafico N. (Rest).

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Lens has recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:21 (averaging 1.6:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lens against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 8:10 goals (averaging 1:1.3 per game).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Lyon: 4.01% Lens: 1.95%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10:2	8	11
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9:9	0	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Lens
French Ligue 1
18.09.26	Monaco - Lens	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Le Mans - Lens	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.09.26	Slavia Prague - Lens	2:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
05.09.26	Lens - Lorient	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Strasbourg - Lens	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTWLL
- Olympique Lyon
French Ligue 1
19.09.26	Lyon - Rennes	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.09.26	Anderlecht - Lyon	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
12.09.26	Paris FC - Lyon	0:0 ✺
04.09.26	Lyon - Auxerre	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Lyon - Le Havre	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
17.05.26	Lyon - Lens	0:4
Coupe De France
05.03.26	Lyon - Lens	2:3 penalties
French Ligue 1
16.08.25	Lens - Lyon	0:1
04.05.25	Lyon - Lens	1:2
15.09.24	Lens - Lyon	0:0
03.03.24	Lyon - Lens	0:3
02.12.23	Lens - Lyon	3:2

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