Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 6

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Bollaert-Delelis (Lens) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Stinat J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport Maximo 360
Albania	20:45	SuperSport 2
Argentina	15:45	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	22:45	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	20:45	DAZN 2, DAZN
Azerbaijan	22:45	Setanta Sports 2
Bolivia	14:45	ESPN 4
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Sport 5P
Bulgaria	21:45	Nova Sport
Canada	14:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports Espanol
China	02:45	Migu
Colombia	13:45	ESPN 4
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cablenet Sports 2
Czech Republic	20:45	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	20:45	Viaplay
Ecuador	13:45	ESPN 4
Estonia	21:45	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	21:45	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	20:45	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	22:45	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	20:45	DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	02:45	beIN Sports 3
Indonesia	01:45	Vidio
Israel	21:45	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	20:45	Ligue 1+
Japan	03:45	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	00:45	Setanta Sports 2
Kyrgyzstan	00:45	Setanta Sports 2
Lithuania	21:45	Go3 Extra Sports
Mexico	12:45	FOX One
Moldova	21:45	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	20:45	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	20:45	MaxTV GO
Norway	20:45	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Paraguay	15:45	ESPN 4
Peru	13:45	Disney+, ESPN 4
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 2
Romania	21:45	Voyo
Serbia	20:45	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	20:45	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South Korea	03:45	Coupang Play
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Suriname	15:45	SCCN
Sweden	20:45	Viaplay
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	23:45	Setanta Sports 2
Turkey	21:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Turkmenistan	23:45	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	19:45	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	15:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US Espanol
Uzbekistan	23:45	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	14:45	Disney+, ESPN 4, Inter
International	18:45	OneFootball TV


	Lens		Lyon

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.60	2.60	Watch
	2.50	3.70	2.60
	2.50	3.55	2.55	Watch
	2.64	3.75	2.66
	2.55	3.77	2.56	Watch
	2.60	3.70	2.60
	2.72	3.64	2.51	Watch
	2.50	3.75	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.21)	3.68 ↓ (3.8)	2.59 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lens
37.2%

Draw
25.9%

Lyon
36.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.7%

24.8%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

25.3%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lens's form might have worsened.

Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lyon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.6%	31.6%	36.8%

Lens - Lyon Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Lens will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). Lyon will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 15.1% – 58.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Lens (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Lens (2.54) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 3 - over (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - Lyon & Yes (4.33) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

AH -0 - Lyon (1.92) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

O/U 2.5 - over (1.57) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

BTTS - yes (1.50) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Lens (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Lyon (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Risser R. (G) 24. Gradit J. 25. Ganiou I. 32. Antonio K. 2. Aguilar R. 27. Cuisance M. 8. Titraoui Y. 14. Udol M. 10. Thauvin F. (C) 7. Sotoca F. 11. Edouard O.	1. Greif D. (G) 13. Athekame Z. 20. Bacher F. 21. Kluivert R. 16. Abner Vinicius 2. Bidstrup M. 23. Morton T. 7. Nuamah E. 10. Sulc P. 8. Tolisso C. (C) 17. Openda L.
Substitutes
23. Abdulhamid S. 6. Baidoo S. 5. Bulatovic A. 16. Gorgelin M. (G) 21. Haidara A. 29. Ivanovic F. 28. Kadile J. 22. Skoras M. 38. Soares M.	26. Boudache K. 40. Descamps R. (G) 24. Duranville J. 85. Kamara N. 22. Mata C. 18. Merah K. 11. Nakamura K. 99. Nartey N. 6. Tessmann T.
Coaches
Cahuzac Y.	Fonseca P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Abner Vinicius 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Sotoca F. ⚽, Thauvin F. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', Gradit J. 🟨,
54', Gradit J. ↓, Baidoo S. ↑,
54', Titraoui Y. ↓, Haidara A. ↑,
60', Openda L. ↓, Nakamura K. ↑,
60', Bidstrup M. ↓, Nartey N. ↑,
69', Sotoca F. ↓, Kadile J. ↑,
69', Edouard O. ↓, Ivanovic F. ↑,
71', Nuamah E. ↓, Boudache K. ↑,
77', 2 - 0, Udol M. ⚽, Thauvin F. (A),
77', Morton T. ↓, Tessmann T. ↑,
78', Sulc P. ↓, Merah K. ↑,
83', Cuisance M. ↓, Bulatovic A. ↑,
84', Udol M. 🟥,
85', 2 - 1, Merah K. ⚽,

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 15th and 2nd in the Promotion - Champions League League phase).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lens won 3.

Recent results have been tough for Lens (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Lyon is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Recently, Lens has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Lens: Chavez J. (Thigh Injury) Hazard T. (Inactive) Nawrocki M. (Knee Injury) Sima A. (Muscle Injury) Todibo J. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Lyon: Himbert R. (Inactive) Niakhate M. (Muscle Injury) Ouedraogo M. (Knee Injury) Tagliafico N. (Rest).

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Lens has recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:21 (averaging 1.6:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lens against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 8:10 goals (averaging 1:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Lyon	8	4	2	2	13:7	6	14
7	Lens	8	4	1	3	16:12	4	13

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Lyon: 2.87% Lens: 2.4%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Lens
French Ligue 1
18.09.26	Monaco - Lens	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Le Mans - Lens	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.09.26	Slavia Prague - Lens	2:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
05.09.26	Lens - Lorient	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Strasbourg - Lens	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTWLL
- Olympique Lyon
French Ligue 1
19.09.26	Lyon - Rennes	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.09.26	Anderlecht - Lyon	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
12.09.26	Paris FC - Lyon	0:0 ✺
04.09.26	Lyon - Auxerre	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Lyon - Le Havre	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
17.05.26	Lyon - Lens	0:4
Coupe De France
05.03.26	Lyon - Lens	2:3 penalties
French Ligue 1
16.08.25	Lens - Lyon	0:1
04.05.25	Lyon - Lens	1:2
15.09.24	Lens - Lyon	0:0
03.03.24	Lyon - Lens	0:3
02.12.23	Lens - Lyon	3:2

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