Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 4

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Marie-Marvingt (Le Mans) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ben El Hadj Salem H. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	12:15	Disney+, ESPN 4
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Austria	17:15	DAZN
Bolivia	11:15	ESPN 4
Bosnia And Herzegovina	17:15	Arena Sport 5P
Bulgaria	18:15	Nova Sport
Canada	11:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol, fubo Sports Network
China	23:15	Migu
Colombia	10:15	ESPN 4
Croatia	17:15	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	18:15	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech Republic	17:15	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	17:15	Viaplay
Ecuador	10:15	ESPN 4
Finland	18:15	Viaplay
France	17:15	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	19:15	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	17:15	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	23:15	beIN SPORTS MAX
Indonesia	22:15	Vidio
Israel	18:15	5 LIVE Israel
Italy	17:15	Ligue 1+
Japan	00:15	DAZN Japan
Mexico	09:15	FOX One
Netherlands	17:15	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	17:15	Viaplay
Paraguay	11:15	ESPN 4
Peru	10:15	Disney+, ESPN 4
Poland	17:15	Eleven Sports 4
Romania	18:15	Voyo
Serbia	17:15	Arena Sport 9
Slovakia	17:15	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
South Korea	00:15	Coupang Play
Sweden	17:15	Viaplay
Switzerland	17:15	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	18:15	beIN Connect
Ukraine	18:15	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport
United Kingdom	16:15	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	12:15	Disney+
Usa	11:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	11:15	Disney+, ESPN 4
Vietnam	22:15	ON Plus
International	15:15	OneFootball TV


	Le Mans		Lens

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.33	1.62	Watch
	4.60	4.33	1.63
	4.75	4.20	1.61	Watch
	5.19	4.50	1.65
	4.55	4.12	1.7	Watch
	5.20	4.30	1.62
	4.84	4.41	1.65	Watch
	5.00	4.50	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.86 ↓ (5.26)	4.34 ↑ (4.17)	1.64 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Mans
19.7%

Draw
22%

Lens
58.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18%

22.7%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.5%

22.1%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Mans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.5%	14.3%	76.2%

Le Mans - Lens Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Le Mans will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). Lens will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lens: 58% – 94.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Lens (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lens (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hatfout E. (G) 15. Boisse N. 17. Yohou S. (C) 5. Voyer H. 29. Bretelle L. 26. Bamba R. 11. Bourabaa A. 10. Vercruysse J. 22. Calodat L. 14. Mafouta L. 25. Gueye D.	40. Risser R. (G) 24. Gradit J. 32. Antonio K. 14. Udol M. 2. Aguilar R. 27. Cuisance M. 5. Bulatovic A. 22. Skoras M. 19. Sima A. 10. Thauvin F. (C) 11. Edouard O.
Substitutes
7. Brahimi B. 13. Diallo H. 98. Kocik N. (G) 76. Larouci Y. 8. Lauray A. 9. Rabillard A. 19. Sidibe D. 16. Torrente R. 23. Traore D.	4. Celik N. 16. Gorgelin M. (G) 21. Haidara A. 9. Hazard T. 29. Ivanovic F. 28. Kadile J. 38. Soares M. 7. Sotoca F. 20. Todibo J.
Coaches
Videira P.	Toppmoller D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
15', Boisse N. 🟨,
20', Cuisance M. 🟨,
28', Vercruysse J. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Bourabaa A. ⚽,
38', Bulatovic A. 🟨,
44', 2 - 0, Calodat L. ⚽, Bourabaa A. (A),
45+2', 2 - 1, Sima A. ⚽, Thauvin F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Cuisance M. ↓, Haidara A. ↑,
46', Boisse N. ↓, Sidibe D. ↑,
46', Edouard O. ↓, Ivanovic F. ↑,
46', Skoras M. ↓, Soares M. ↑,
51', 2 - 2, Ivanovic F. ⚽, Aguilar R. (A),
53', Thauvin F. 🟨,
55', Gradit J. ↓, Todibo J. ↑,
65', Bretelle L. ↓, Lauray A. ↑,
65', Gueye D. ↓, Diallo H. ↑,
65', Vercruysse J. ↓, Traore D. ↑,
76', Sima A. ↓, Hazard T. ↑,
77', Yohou S. ↓, Torrente R. ↑,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Lens may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lens is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Lens: Abdulhamid S. (Contusion) Baidoo S. (Knee Injury) Chavez J. (Thigh Injury) Nawrocki M. (Injury) Sagnan S. (Red Card) Titraoui Y. (Injury)

There are questionable in Le Mans: Colas E. (Injury) Kocik N. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Le Mans won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Le Mans won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Lens	8	4	1	3	16:12	4	13
15	Le Mans	8	1	4	3	11:16	-5	7

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Lens: 2.4% Le Mans: 0.04%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Mans FC
French Ligue 1
05.09.26	Nice - Le Mans	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Rennes - Le Mans	3:2 ✺
22.08.26	Le Mans - Brest	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Le Mans - Le Havre	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Angers - Le Mans	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TLTLW
- RC Lens
UEFA Champions League
10.09.26	Slavia Prague - Lens	2:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
05.09.26	Lens - Lorient	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Strasbourg - Lens	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Lens - Auxerre	5:2 ✺
French Super Cup
16.08.26	Lens - Paris Saint-Germain	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
27.07.19	Le Mans - Lens	1:2
24.05.13	Le Mans - Lens	2:1
28.07.12	Lens - Le Mans	2:2

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