Match Info

Date: 1 December 2020, Tuesday


	Trujillanos		Atlético Venezuela

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.2	1.72
	2.6	2.7	2.7
	2.6	2.85	2.6
	3.66	3.41	1.79
	3.9	3.9	1.7
	5.4	4.33	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↑ (2.12)	3.4 ↑ (3)	2.01 ↓ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trujillanos
25.1%

Draw
27.8%

Atlético Venezuela
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

30%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

19.6%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trujillanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trujillanos's form might have worsened.

Atlético Venezuela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Venezuela's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trujillanos than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Venezuela than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7%	1.2%	91.9%

Trujillanos - Atlético Venezuela Predictions

Users Predictions: 86 users predict this event. Trujillanos will win (votes: 6 - 7%). Atlético Venezuela will win (votes: 79 - 91.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 1.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Venezuela: 86.1% – 97.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 7 and 8).

Trujillanos is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Atlético Venezuela is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Trujillanos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Atlético Venezuela will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Trujillanos won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 22-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Trujillanos won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trujillanos FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
25.11.20	Yaracuyanos - Trujillanos	1:1 ✺
21.11.20	Trujillanos - Deportivo La Guaira	0:2 ✺
17.11.20	Estudiantes de Mérida - Trujillanos	1:2 ✺
15.11.20	Trujillanos - Deportivo Lara	1:2 ✺
11.11.20	Trujillanos - Mineros de Guayana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLWLL
- Atlético Venezuela
Venezuelan Primera Division
28.11.20	Atlético Venezuela - Yaracuyanos	0:1 ✺
24.11.20	Academia Puerto Cabello - Atlético Venezuela	2:2 ✺
22.11.20	Atlético Venezuela - Carabobo	2:0 ✺
18.11.20	Deportivo Lara - Atlético Venezuela	4:0 ✺
14.11.20	Atlético Venezuela - Mineros de Guayana	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
01.11.20	Atlético Venezuela - Trujillanos	1:0
22.09.19	Atlético Venezuela - Trujillanos	1:2
31.03.19	Trujillanos - Atlético Venezuela	1:3
18.10.18	Atlético Venezuela - Trujillanos	3:0
06.05.18	Trujillanos - Atlético Venezuela	2:2
20.08.17	Trujillanos - Atlético Venezuela	1:1
26.03.17	Atlético Venezuela - Trujillanos	1:2

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