The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Trujillanos 21.2%
Draw 30.6%
Deportivo La Guaira 48.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.1%
26.4%
56.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.5%
25.5%
58.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trujillanos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
Deportivo La Guaira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo La Guaira might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trujillanos than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Guaira than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo La Guaira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Trujillanos - Deportivo La Guaira Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Teran L. (G) 40. Vivas J. 2. Morales B. 21. Da Silva J. 33. Gonzalez M. (C) 14. Femia N. 22. Gonzalez K. 36. Carmona J. 7. Santos C. 9. Bareiro Munoz F. V. 17. Polo A.
1. Varela C. (C) 16. Martinez L. 14. Da Silva C. 3. Osio D. 19. Ascanio G. 41. Lunar F. 6. Faya C. 27. Correa J. 32. Caceres F. 77. Arace R. 9. Uribe A.
Substitutes
10. Abreu E. 12. Garcia O. (G) 99. Livingston D. 5. Maldonado J. 16. Marchesano Riky 19. Morillo R. 11. Mosquera L. 15. Ortiz J. 20. Paez J. 28. Sanchez A. 50. Soler J. 13. Trompetera G.
10. Castellanos J. 5. Gianoli M. 15. Gonzalez M. 33. Hernandez N. 13. Ibarra R. 24. Ortiz G. 25. Paredes J. 18. Rivas Y. 21. Rodriguez A. 12. Sanchez J. (G) 22. Sulbaran M. 11. Vargas J.
Coaches
Vera P.
Bidoglio H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Polo A. ↓, Livingston D. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Lunar F. ↓, Rivas Y. ↑,
65', Gonzalez M. 🟨,
69', Arace R. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
69', Uribe A. ↓, Paredes J. ↑,
69', Caceres F. ↓, Castellanos J. ↑,
71', Livingston D. ↓, Abreu E. ↑,
71', Carmona J. ↓, Morillo R. ↑,
75', Martinez L. 🟨,
80', 0 - 1, Castellanos J. ⚽, Rodriguez A. (A),
87', Faya C. ↓, Gianoli M. ↑,
90+1', Vivas J. 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
Deportivo La Guaira is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trujillanos won 1.
Trujillanos is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Deportivo La Guaira has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Deportivo La Guaira is the team to beat.
We predict that Deportivo La Guaira will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Trujillanos won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:35. (average 0.9:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Trujillanos won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1:1.6).
Watch
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Teran L. (G) 
Femia N. 
Bareiro Munoz F. V. 
Livingston D. 
Gianoli M. 
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