Match Info

Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio José Alberto Pérez (Valera)

Referee: Miranda Y. (Ven)


	Trujillanos		Metropolitanos

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.25	3.2	2.12
	3.55	3.3	2.06
	2.95	3.2	2.42	Watch
	3.4	3.1	2.1
	3.62	3.1	2.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (3.29)	3.18 ↑ (3.05)	2.16 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trujillanos
27.7%

Draw
29.3%

Metropolitanos
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

30.6%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

29.1%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trujillanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Metropolitanos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trujillanos than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metropolitanos than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Trujillanos - Metropolitanos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Teran L. (G) 3. Umbria Valecillos M. A. 25. Pabon Delgao S. J. 4. Chaverra F. 33. Gonzalez M. (C) 10. Abreu E. 22. Gonzalez K. 14. Femia N. 17. Polo A. 9. Bareiro Munoz F. V. 15. Ortiz J.	1. Yustiz Y. (G) 2. Manenti F. 4. Ferro A. 6. Caricote Y. 17. Valderrey E. 8. Ayine G. 15. Zalzman D. 88. Figueroa R. 7. Miku (C) 11. Ramirez S. 9. Ortiz K.
Substitutes
36. Carmona J. 21. De La Hoz K. 23. Fernandez M. 12. Garcia O. (G) 18. Mendez J. 19. Morillo R. 11. Mosquera L. 20. Paez J. 2. Rojas O. 7. Torrealba E. 6. Trejo N. 13. Trompetera G.	20. Acosta R. 99. Bianciotti A. 23. Diaz M. 21. Garces R. 13. Gimenez J. 24. Jaimes A. 22. Lara J. (G) 30. Navarro J. 5. Sangiovani R.
Coaches
Valiente J.	Stifano F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Ferro A. 🟨,
27', Manenti F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Umbria Valecillos M. A. ↓, Trompetera G. ↑,
57', 0 - 1, Ortiz K. ⚽, Zalzman D. (A),
60', Ramirez S. ↓, Navarro J. ↑,
60', Zalzman D. ↓, Sangiovani R. ↑,
63', Ortiz J. ↓, Carmona J. ↑,
63', Femia N. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
71', Polo A. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
71', Abreu E. ↓, Mosquera L. ↑,
74', Miku ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
82', Fernandez M. 🟨,
82', Ortiz K. ↓, Bianciotti A. ↑,
90', Valderrey E. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trujillanos won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Trujillanos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Trujillanos won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Trujillanos won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Metropolitanos	11	9	1	1	24:9	15	28
12	Trujillanos	11	3	2	6	12:18	-6	11

Last Results with these Odds

Metropolitanos - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.97%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trujillanos FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
08.03.26	Monagas - Trujillanos	3:1 ✺
01.03.26	Trujillanos - Academia Anzoátegui	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Trujillanos - Portuguesa Acarígua	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Deportivo Táchira - Trujillanos	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Trujillanos - Carabobo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LTTTT
- Metropolitanos FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
08.03.26	Metropolitanos - Portuguesa Acarígua	3:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.03.26	Caracas - Metropolitanos	1:0 penalties ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
28.02.26	Deportivo Táchira - Metropolitanos	0:1 ✺
20.02.26	Metropolitanos - Carabobo	1:1 ✺
13.02.26	Universidad Central - Metropolitanos	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
14.08.19	Metropolitanos - Trujillanos	4:3
17.02.19	Trujillanos - Metropolitanos	0:2
22.08.18	Trujillanos - Metropolitanos	2:1
28.02.18	Metropolitanos - Trujillanos	0:0
04.10.17	Trujillanos - Metropolitanos	1:1
26.04.17	Metropolitanos - Trujillanos	1:0
03.10.15	Trujillanos - Metropolitanos	2:1

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