Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 35

Date: 4 March 2023, Saturday


	Truro City		Hayes & Yeading United

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	3.4
	1.87	3.61	3.39
	1.87	3.68	3.58
	1.87	3.6	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.93)	3.6 ↓ (3.74)	3.47 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Truro City
48.6%

Draw
25.2%

Hayes & Yeading United
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

24.3%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

25.7%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Truro City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Hayes & Yeading United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hayes & Yeading United than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Truro City - Hayes & Yeading United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs) and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Truro won 3.

Recent matches Truro is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hayes & Yeading is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Truro will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Truro won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Truro won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Truro City
English Southern League South Division
28.02.23	Truro City - Chesham United	3:1 ✺
25.02.23	Swindon Supermarine - Truro City	3:2 ✺
21.02.23	Poole Town - Truro City	3:0 ✺
18.02.23	Truro City - Hartley Wintney	1:1 ✺
15.02.23	Truro City - Hanwell Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLTW
- Hayes & Yeading United
English Southern League South Division
28.02.23	Hayes & Yeading United - Merthyr Town	3:2 ✺
25.02.23	Hayes & Yeading United - Hanwell Town	1:0 ✺
21.02.23	Hayes & Yeading United - Swindon Supermarine	0:0 ✺
18.02.23	Yate Town - Hayes & Yeading United	1:2 ✺
14.02.23	Hendon - Hayes & Yeading United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
22.10.22	Hayes & Yeading United - Truro City	3:4
22.02.22	Hayes & Yeading United - Truro City	1:0
22.01.22	Truro City - Hayes & Yeading United	2:1
17.10.20	Hayes & Yeading United - Truro City	3:1
14.12.19	Hayes & Yeading United - Truro City	0:1
28.09.19	Truro City - Hayes & Yeading United	3:0
English National League South
22.11.15	Hayes & Yeading United - Truro City	2:2

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