Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 20

Date: 21 February 2023, Tuesday


	Poole Town		Truro City

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.4	2.2
	2.7	3.2	2.23
	2.75	3.6	2.1
	2.85	3.48	2.27
	2.9	3.3	2.15
	2.78	3.5	2.27
	2.8	3.5	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (3.38)	3.43 ↓ (3.72)	2.2 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poole Town
32.5%

Draw
26.4%

Truro City
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

24.1%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

23.7%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poole Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Poole Town's performance.

Truro City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Truro City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poole Town than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Poole Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Truro City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

Poole Town - Truro City Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Truro will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Poole won 1.

Poole is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Truro is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Poole have a series of guest games.

Truro will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Poole won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Poole won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poole Town
English Southern League South Division
18.02.23	Poole Town - Beaconsfield Town	2:2 ✺
14.02.23	Poole Town - Winchester City	1:0 ✺
11.02.23	Yate Town - Poole Town	2:3 ✺
07.02.23	Poole Town - Swindon Supermarine	2:2 ✺
04.02.23	Poole Town - Gosport Borough	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWWTT
- Truro City
English Southern League South Division
18.02.23	Truro City - Hartley Wintney	1:1 ✺
15.02.23	Truro City - Hanwell Town	1:0 ✺
11.02.23	Gosport Borough - Truro City	0:1 ✺
04.02.23	Truro City - Yate Town	4:0 ✺
28.01.23	Weston-super-Mare - Truro City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
17.08.22	Truro City - Poole Town	1:1
05.02.22	Truro City - Poole Town	3:0
26.10.21	Poole Town - Truro City	1:4
06.10.20	Poole Town - Truro City	2:1
15.10.19	Truro City - Poole Town	3:3
English National League South
01.01.18	Truro City - Poole Town	3:1
26.12.17	Poole Town - Truro City	0:3

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