Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 34

Date: 25 February 2023, Saturday


	Swindon Supermarine		Truro City

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.25	2.15
	2.74	3.75	2.27
	2.83	3.38	2.29
	3.1	3.3	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.63)	3.42 ↑ (3.3)	2.2 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swindon Supermarine
31.8%

Draw
26.7%

Truro City
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

27.1%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

28.2%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swindon Supermarine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Truro City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Supermarine than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Swindon Supermarine - Truro City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Swindon Supermarine won 0.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Recently Swindon Supermarine have a series of guest games.

Truro will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Swindon Supermarine won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Swindon Supermarine won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swindon Supermarine
English Southern League South Division
21.02.23	Hayes & Yeading United - Swindon Supermarine	0:0 ✺
18.02.23	Harrow Borough - Swindon Supermarine	1:3 ✺
15.02.23	Swindon Supermarine - Hartley Wintney	1:0 ✺
11.02.23	Beaconsfield Town - Swindon Supermarine	2:3 ✺
07.02.23	Poole Town - Swindon Supermarine	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TWWWT
- Truro City
English Southern League South Division
21.02.23	Poole Town - Truro City	3:0 ✺
18.02.23	Truro City - Hartley Wintney	1:1 ✺
15.02.23	Truro City - Hanwell Town	1:0 ✺
11.02.23	Gosport Borough - Truro City	0:1 ✺
04.02.23	Truro City - Yate Town	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
12.10.22	Truro City - Swindon Supermarine	4:0
02.04.22	Swindon Supermarine - Truro City	0:1
16.11.21	Truro City - Swindon Supermarine	1:1
24.10.20	Swindon Supermarine - Truro City	2:3
25.01.20	Swindon Supermarine - Truro City	1:3
17.08.19	Truro City - Swindon Supermarine	1:0

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