Match Info

NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 4 - Round 8

Date: 28 May 2024, Tuesday


	Trygg Lade		Stabæk 2

	1	X	2
	1.75	4.4	3.1
	1.77	4.05	3.6
	1.78	4.06	3.04
	1.62	5	3.4
	1.83	3.98	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.41)	4.3 ↓ (5)	3.3 ↓ (5.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trygg Lade
51.6%

Draw
21%

Stabæk 2
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

18.1%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

17.1%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trygg Lade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trygg Lade's form might have worsened.

Stabæk 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stabæk 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trygg Lade than the current prediction. (+16.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trygg Lade, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stabæk 2 than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stabæk 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Trygg Lade - Stabæk 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Ferrington R. ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Kjorstad S. ⚽,
45', 2 - 1, Rygh J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
51', 3 - 1, Bruseth Gikling O. ⚽,
69', 4 - 1, Bruseth Gikling O. ⚽,
79', 4 - 2, Victorio A. ⚽,
90', 4 - 3, Victorio A. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 5).

Trygg Lade in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Stabæk 2 is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Trygg Lade could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Trygg Lade is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Trygg Lade to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SK Trygg Lade
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
20.05.24	Tiller - Trygg Lade	0:2 ✺
12.05.24	Trygg Lade - Rosenborg II	3:2 ✺
04.05.24	Byåsen - Trygg Lade	0:1 ✺
27.04.24	Trygg Lade - Melhus	0:0 ✺
19.04.24	Trygg Lade - Mosjøen	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWTW
- Stabæk 2 Fotball
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
21.05.24	Stabæk 2 - Lillestrøm 2	3:4 ✺
12.05.24	Orkla FK - Stabæk 2	0:2 ✺
05.05.24	Stabæk 2 - Rana	4:2 ✺
21.04.24	Melhus - Stabæk 2	1:3 ✺
15.04.24	Stabæk 2 - Rosenborg II	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 LWWWW

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