Match Info

Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 21

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Reknesbanen (Molde)


	Træff		Arendal

	1	X	2
	3	3.6	2.08
	3.15	3.87	2.04
	2.93	3.68	2.17	Watch
	2.99	3.52	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↓ (4.75)	3.67 ↑ (3.5)	2.09 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Træff
30.6%

Draw
25.2%

Arendal
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.3%

26.2%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

25.5%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Træff has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Træff's performance.

Arendal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arendal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Træff than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Træff that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arendal than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arendal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Træff - Arendal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lervik P. (G) 23. Boe H. 29. Finnoy S. 5. Flones I. 6. Forren V. 8. Gussias S. 19. Hovland L. 7. Myklebust A. 27. Myklebust J. (C) 88. Obiech A. 11. Tosse K.	1. Smedplass A. (G) 15. Curic A. 16. Helgesen E. 21. Lovseth R. 25. Nilsen A. E. 18. Nygaard S. 20. Osterud A. (C) 7. Skjold A. 17. Suggelia H. 14. Trengereid M. 11. Victorio M.
Substitutes
22. Beinset S. (G) 17. Lewis M. 24. Ohr N. 9. Okanovic D. 28. Rotvold-Leenaars M. 18. Selmer K. 12. Sjomaeling J. (G) 10. Toven R. 3. Uren J.	3. Arezou A. 28. Bamba D. 13. Fevang T. (G) 19. Ibishi D. 10. Kvinge M. 9. Myrbakk J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Victorio M. (Pen),
21', Tosse K. ↓, Selmer K. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Finnoy S. ↓, Ohr N. ↑,
62', Hovland L. ↓, Toven R. ↑,
78', Skjold A. ↓, Myrbakk J. ↑,
82', Victorio M. ↓, Kvinge M. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Selmer K. ⚽,
88', Osterud A. 🟨,
90', Nilsen A. E. ↓, Bamba D. ↑,
90', Osterud A. ↓, Arezou A. ↑,
90+2', Gussias S. ↓, Okanovic D. ↑,
90+2', Obiech A. ↓, Lewis M. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 and 5).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Arendal could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Træff won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Træff won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Træff
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
13.09.25	Brattvåg - Træff	4:2 ✺
07.09.25	Træff - Sandnes Ulf	3:2 ✺
31.08.25	Træff - Flekkerøy	2:0 ✺
24.08.25	Sotra - Træff	0:0 ✺
17.08.25	Træff - Jerv	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LWWTL
- Arendal Fotball
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
13.09.25	Arendal - Vard Haugesund	0:0 ✺
07.09.25	Sotra - Arendal	3:1 ✺
30.08.25	Arendal - Pors	3:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
27.08.25	Arendal - Egersund	2:3 ET ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
24.08.25	Brann 2 - Arendal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
27.04.25	Arendal - Træff	1:0
29.10.23	Arendal - Træff	4:0
02.07.23	Træff - Arendal	2:2

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