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Current Win Probability
Arendal 64%
Draw 19.4%
Eik-Tønsberg 16.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
57.2%
21.5%
21.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.7%
21%
20.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arendal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arendal's performance.
Eik-Tønsberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arendal than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arendal that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eik-Tønsberg than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Arendal - Eik Tønsberg Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Smedplass A. (G) 2. Gitau G. 19. Lille-Lovo S. 27. Nundal J. 18. Nygaard S. 4. Osnes H. 14. Rodeblad Lowe K. 7. Skjold A. 17. Suggelia H. 8. Trengereid M. (C) 21. Wenaas V.
1. Moe E. (G) 10. Andersen B. 5. Brendsrod T. 15. Lillevik Kristian 18. Muhle E. 8. Nygaard T. (C) 3. Roberg V. S. 17. Schmidt Godo W. 77. Solli M. 20. Srour M. 9. Stokke B.
Substitutes
28. Altenborg M. 15. Curic A. 9. Dvergsdal T. 29. Hurvenes M. 25. Nilsen A. E. 13. Ostbo S. (G) 20. Osterud A. 11. Victorio M.
25. Carlstedt K. 6. Danielsen H. 21. Flood C. 23. Gunnarsson Lavlund E. 4. Lundhagebakken J. 11. Nygaard A. 35. Rachlew-Ronningen D. (G) 14. Roberg E. 2. Sverrisson N. 29. Volden M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Lille-Lovo S. ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, Lille-Lovo S. ⚽,
30', Suggelia H. 🟨,
33', 3 - 0, Skjold A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Srour M. ↓, Danielsen H. ↑,
46', Schmidt Godo W. ↓, Volden M. ↑,
46', Brendsrod T. ↓, Flood C. ↑,
46', Skjold A. ↓, Altenborg M. ↑,
61', Nundal J. ↓, Osterud A. ↑,
61', Gitau G. ↓, Curic A. ↑,
61', Lille-Lovo S. ↓, Dvergsdal T. ↑,
64', Nygaard T. 🟨,
77', Suggelia H. ↓, Nilsen A. E. ↑,
78', Lillevik Kristian 🟨,
78', 🟨,
78', Wenaas V. 🟨,
84', Muhle E. ↓, Gunnarsson Lavlund E. ↑,
84', Stokke B. ↓, Roberg E. ↑,
Preview
A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 9th and 13th in the Relegation).
Eik-Tønsberg is Relegated to.
Arendal has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Eik-Tønsberg has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to Arendal for this game.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Arendal has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:5 (averaging 1.2:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Arendal against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals (averaging 1:1.5 per game).