Match Info

Date: 11 September 2022, Sunday


	Tucson		Union Omaha

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.25	3.3	1.98
	3.45	3.25	1.95
	3.35	3.3	1.93
	3.81	3.44	1.93
	3.65	3.62	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (3.42)	3.38 ↑ (3.24)	1.92 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tucson
25.9%

Draw
26.8%

Union Omaha
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

28%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

26.9%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tucson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Union Omaha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tucson than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Omaha than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	12.5%	50%

Tucson - Union Omaha Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Tucson will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Union Omaha will win (votes: 8 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union Omaha: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tucson won 1.

Recent matches Tucson is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Union Omaha is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Union Omaha have a series of home games.

Union Omaha will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Tucson won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Tucson won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tucson
USL League One
03.09.22	Tucson - Charlotte Independence	1:0 ✺
31.08.22	Central Valley Fuego - Tucson	3:2 ✺
27.08.22	North Carolina - Tucson	1:1 ✺
20.08.22	Tucson - Greenville Triumph	0:1 ✺
17.08.22	Northern Colorado Hailstorm - Tucson	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLTLW
- Union Omaha
USL League One
03.09.22	Union Omaha - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:1 ✺
31.08.22	Union Omaha - Forward Madison	1:0 ✺
27.08.22	Richmond Kickers - Union Omaha	3:0 ✺
20.08.22	Union Omaha - North Carolina	4:1 ✺
17.08.22	Union Omaha - Charlotte Independence	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
16.07.22	Union Omaha - Tucson	2:1
11.06.22	Tucson - Union Omaha	1:2
13.11.21	Union Omaha - Tucson	6:1
25.09.21	Union Omaha - Tucson	0:1
14.08.21	Tucson - Union Omaha	0:1
24.07.21	Tucson - Union Omaha	1:2
26.06.21	Union Omaha - Tucson	1:0

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