The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Union Omaha 50.7%
Draw 23.6%
Charlotte Independence 25.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.8%
24.8%
31.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.5%
25.8%
30.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Union Omaha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Union Omaha's performance.
Charlotte Independence has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Charlotte Independence might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Omaha than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Union Omaha that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Union Omaha - Charlotte Independence Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Jensen C. (G) 23. Boudadi Y. 4. Owusu S. 14. Kallman B. (C) 27. Jiba R. 6. Guediri S. 8. Gabriel Cabral 7. Billhardt A. 22. Tekiela K. 77. Gavilanes A. 12. Vargas M.
28. Levy M. (G) 17. Dimick C. (C) 4. Coulibaly S. 5. Romero J. 3. Skinner J. 8. Jaime C. 14. Manin R. 10. Bakero J. 6. Fuchs J. 11. Ortiz V. 26. Marou S.
Substitutes
9. Botello Faz P. 21. Gomez A. 17. Gutierrez D. 3. Malone B. 24. Nuhu R. (G) 20. Ors Navarro S. 16. Wootton L.
24. Amaya J. 9. Manzinga C. 19. Martinez E. 21. Nare T. 2. Ngah F. 22. Riascos K. 29. Stefano Pinho 1. Tasouris G. (G)
Coaches
Candela V.
Jeffries M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Marou S. 🟥,
44', 1 - 0, Vargas M. ⚽, Gavilanes A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ortiz V. ↓, Stefano Pinho ↑,
53', Tekiela K. ↓, Botello Faz P. ↑,
55', Fuchs J. 🟨,
59', Skinner J. 🟨,
61', Vargas M. ↓, Wootton L. ↑,
61', Billhardt A. ↓, Ors Navarro S. ↑,
67', Bakero J. ↓, Amaya J. ↑,
67', Fuchs J. ↓, Manzinga C. ↑,
72', Boudadi Y. 🟨,
82', Wootton L. 🟨,
85', Gavilanes A. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
85', Coulibaly S. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
85', Guediri S. ↓, Gutierrez D. ↑,
85', Jaime C. ↓, Ngah F. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 0, Ors Navarro S. ⚽, Wootton L. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union Omaha won 3.
Recent performances by Union Omaha have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Charlotte Ind is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Charlotte Ind may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Charlotte Ind has had a series of home games.
Union Omaha could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Union Omaha won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.4:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Union Omaha won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 1.7:0.7).
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Jensen C. (G) 
Boudadi Y. 
Owusu S. 
Jiba R. 
Gabriel Cabral 
Billhardt A. 
Vargas M. 
Coulibaly S. 
Romero J. 
Manin R. 
Bakero J. 
Fuchs J. 
Wootton L. 
Manzinga C. 
Martinez E. 
Riascos K. 
Tasouris G. (G) 
Candela V. 
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