Match Info

Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 4

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday


	Tucuman Central		Atlético Escobar

	1	X	2
	2.70	2.80	2.50
	2.75	2.75	2.52
	2.56	2.81	2.6
	3.04	2.76	2.53	Watch
	2.6	2.7	2.35
	2.9	2.61	2.6
	2.70	2.90	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (3.05)	2.76 ↑ (2.7)	2.51 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tucuman Central
32.3%

Draw
32.2%

Atlético Escobar
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

33.1%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

33.1%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tucuman Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Atlético Escobar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tucuman Central than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Escobar than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Estrada F. ⚽,
18', Estrada F. 🟨,
24', 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Paniagua H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 🟨,
57', 🟨,
59', 1 - 2, Villalba R. ⚽,
65', 2 - 2, Smith F. ⚽,
68', Estrada F. 🟥,
80', 🟨,
83', 🟨,
86', 🟥,
90', 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Tucuman Central has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Escobar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tucuman Central won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Including home match between the teams, Tucuman Central won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tucuman Central
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.08.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Tucuman Central	4:3 ✺
08.08.26	Tucuman Central - El Linqueño	1:1 ✺
02.08.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Tucuman Central	4:0 ✺
26.07.26	Tucuman Central - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	Juventud Antoniana - Tucuman Central	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTLTL
- Atlético Escobar
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.08.26	Atlético Escobar - Sportivo Las Parejas	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Atlético Escobar	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Atlético Escobar - Boca Unidos	0:3 ✺
24.07.26	Sportivo Belgrano - Atlético Escobar	2:2 ✺
11.07.26	Atlético Escobar - Douglas Haig	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWLTW

Tucuman Central - Atlético Escobar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide