Match Info

Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 3

Date: 12 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio del Club Defensores De Vilelas (Puerto Vilelas)


	Defensores de Vilelas		Tucuman Central

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.20	4.20
	1.7	3.15	4.75
	1.71	3.29	4.68
	1.85	3.29	4.46	Watch
	1.68	3.15	4.6
	1.77	3.44	4.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.76)	3.25 ↑ (3.05)	4.56 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores de Vilelas
52.1%

Draw
27.9%

Tucuman Central
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

29.4%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

28.1%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores de Vilelas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Tucuman Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Vilelas than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tucuman Central than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Defensores de Vilelas - Tucuman Central Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ledesma L. (G) 5. Acevedo M. 2. Berlo B. 8. Canete G. 9. Carballo G. 4. Fernandez F. 3. Molina N. 11. Montenegro R. 10. Niz L. 7. Rios G. 6. Turraca J.	1. Moyano R. D. (G) 5. Abregu C. 11. Collantes H. 2. Duarte N. 9. Estrada F. 4. Herrera L. 6. Krupoviesa M. 3. Martinez M. 10. Montenegro V. 8. Perdigon M. 7. Smith F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Montenegro V. ⚽,
9', 1 - 1, Carballo G. ⚽,
45+2', Perdigon M. 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 1, Niz L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Estrada F. ↓, Delgado T. ↑,
46', Krupoviesa M. ↓, Palomino R. ↑,
62', 3 - 1, Rios G. ⚽,
63', Carballo G. ↓, Canario J. ↑,
64', Montenegro R. ↓, Moreno G. ↑,
67', Collantes H. ↓, Suarez L. ↑,
67', Smith F. ↓, Arganaraz S. ↑,
73', 🟨,
75', Rios G. ↓, Acevedo J. ↑,
76', Niz L. ↓, Larrasabal L. ↑,
87', 3 - 2, Martinez M. (Penalty Awarded),
89', 4 - 2, Larrasabal L. ⚽,
90+4', 4 - 3, Montenegro V. ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

Def de Vilelas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tucuman Central has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Def de Vilelas is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Def de Vilelas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Def de Vilelas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores de Vilelas
Argentinian Torneo Federal
08.08.26	Sportivo Las Parejas - Defensores de Vilelas	0:0 ✺
03.08.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Sarmiento de Resistencia	4:1 ✺
12.07.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Defensores de Vilelas	1:0 ✺
04.07.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Sarmiento de La Banda	3:0 ✺
28.06.26	Juventud Antoniana - Defensores de Vilelas	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWLWL
- Tucuman Central
Argentinian Torneo Federal
08.08.26	Tucuman Central - El Linqueño	1:1 ✺
02.08.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Tucuman Central	4:0 ✺
26.07.26	Tucuman Central - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	Juventud Antoniana - Tucuman Central	3:1 ✺
05.07.26	Tucuman Central - Sol de América de Formosa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
31.05.26	Tucuman Central - Defensores de Vilelas	2:0
28.03.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Tucuman Central	1:0

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