Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 18

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Tucumán Central (Tucuman)


	Tucuman Central		Sarmiento de La Banda

	1	X	2
	3.10	2.70	2.30
	3.05	2.65	2.43
	3.48	2.66	2.23
	3.20	2.75	2.55	Watch
	3.40	2.60	2.20
	3.52	2.70	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (2.7)	2.68 ↑ (2.6)	2.33 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tucuman Central
27.5%

Draw
33.8%

Sarmiento de La Banda
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

34.4%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

35.7%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tucuman Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tucuman Central's form might have worsened.

Sarmiento de La Banda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sarmiento de La Banda's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tucuman Central than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tucuman Central, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de La Banda than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sarmiento de La Banda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tucuman Central - Sarmiento de La Banda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Moyano R. D. (G) 5. Abregu C. 10. Abregu G. 11. Delgado T. 2. Duarte N. 4. Herrera L. 6. Krupoviesa M. 3. Martinez M. 9. Montenegro V. 8. Palomino R. 7. Perdigon M.	1. Acuna F. (G) 4. Diaz C. 10. Diaz Cantoni M. 9. Garzon I. 6. Guzman G. 5. Juarez N. 11. Ochoa A. 2. Sanchez Arriola M. 3. Sanchez M. 8. Tevez A. 7. Veliz R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Montenegro V. ⚽,
25', 🟨,
41', 🟨,
45+1', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Abregu G. ↓, Collantes H. ↑,
57', 🟨,
57', Duarte N. 🟥,
61', Estrada F. ↓, Palomino R. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Roldan I. ⚽,
72', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).

Tucuman Central is Torneo Federal (Losers stage )

Recent form of Tucuman Central has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sarmiento La Banda is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sarmiento La Banda is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tucuman Central won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tucuman Central
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.07.26	Juventud Antoniana - Tucuman Central	3:1 ✺
05.07.26	Tucuman Central - Sol de América de Formosa	0:1 ✺
28.06.26	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Tucuman Central	1:0 ✺
21.06.26	Tucuman Central - Boca Unidos	2:0 ✺
07.06.26	General San Martín de Formosa - Tucuman Central	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL
- Sarmiento de La Banda
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.07.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - General San Martín de Formosa	2:0 ✺
04.07.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Sarmiento de La Banda	3:0 ✺
28.06.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - Bartolomé Mitre	1:0 ✺
12.06.26	Juventud Antoniana - Sarmiento de La Banda	0:1 ✺
07.06.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - Sol de América de Formosa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
17.05.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - Tucuman Central	1:0

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